NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	10.1 [68]		MVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): +22.3%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	3.1 [527]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -30.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.08	0.07	0.03	7	80%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Landry Shamet	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	2	86%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.03	-0.02	14	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.16	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Devin Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	47%	0.19	3	-0.20	8	75%	0.03
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Jalen Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.16,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.18	-0.00	20	54%	0.30	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.06
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.07	-0.06	18	51%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.05
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	0.02	4	60%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.31	-0.31	-0.07	-0.23	0.01	23	44%	-0.18	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	24.5	14.7	29.0	1.8	39.5	134.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +64.8%

PHX +13.4%

TOR -8.4%

TOR -22.5%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	13.5	17.8	14.5	107.6	103.3	110.8
season	14.2	14.9		114.0	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.7		109.9	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	13.9	11.7	14.3	13.5
TOR	15.9	18.8	18.3	18.4	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	65	65	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.42	16	-12	28	13.0	14.6	-1.58	18.1	17.1	1.01
Jae Crowder	67	69	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.42	12	-8	20	13.2	14.2	-0.94	17.7	18.1	-0.35
Deandre Ayton	58	58	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.50	7	-3	10	13.0	14.2	-1.20	17.8	17.8	0.05
Devin Booker	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	13.2	14.2	-0.98	17.8	18.0	-0.29
Mikal Bridges	80	78	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	8	-12	13.3	14.8	-1.56	17.9	17.4	0.55
Landry Shamet	24	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-2	8	14.4	13.1	1.27	17.8	17.8	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	9	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-2	8	13.9	13.4	0.46	20.1	17.6	2.52
Jalen Smith	34	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	3	-2	14.0	13.2	0.78	18.0	17.7	0.22
JaVale McGee	26	26	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	15	-26	14.7	13.0	1.75	17.1	18.1	-1.04
Cameron Payne	27	27	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.03	-12	16	-28	14.6	13.0	1.58	17.1	18.1	-1.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Svi Mykhailiuk	13	12	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-8	12	18.0	17.8	0.20	14.9	13.3	1.65
Justin Champagnie	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	18.9	17.5	1.41	14.1	13.3	0.72
Yuta Watanabe	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	5	-14	17.6	17.9	-0.32	12.7	13.9	-1.16
Pascal Siakam	76	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-8	12	16.9	22.3	-5.43	13.8	11.5	2.35
Khem Birch	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-7	10	16.6	19.5	-2.92	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Precious Achiuwa	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	19.5	16.6	2.92	13.9	13.2	0.73
Chris Boucher	69	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	18.2	16.7	1.45	13.7	12.7	0.99
OG Anunoby	77	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	17.8	17.9	-0.13	13.2	14.8	-1.65
Fred VanVleet	83	84	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.40	-9	5	-14	18.2	14.3	3.87	13.2	16.5	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.09,0.27,0	90.3%
MIN 97, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	90.2%
LAL 90, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.31,0.27,0	89.6%