NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	10.9 [44]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): +17.5%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	15.1 [178]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -12.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18	-0.01	0.10	-0.09	13	50%	0.14	2	0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.09	0.14	-0.04	0.00	12	79%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	46%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Duane Washington Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keifer Sykes	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	46%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
Myles Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	12	37%	-0.01	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	26	48%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Enes Freedom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	87%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.13	-0.01	4	31%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.05
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.44,-0.33,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.05	-0.01	21	45%	0.24	8	-0.33	11	91%	0.04
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.04	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	27.3	14.7	31.0	2.5	37.5	2.4	18.5	159.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.2%

BOS +13.0%

BOS +5.7%

IND -16.5%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.5	91.6	94.4	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		111.4	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		105.7	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.8	13.3	15.3	13.9	17.7	14.4
BOS	13.8	18.8	12.4	17.4	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	45	45	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-8	13	14.1	14.7	-0.59	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Domantas Sabonis	88	91	-0.05	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-9	15	14.8	12.5	2.36	14.9	17.4	-2.43
Duane Washington Jr.	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-4	5	12.8	15.8	-2.95	15.1	15.5	-0.47
Oshae Brissett	67	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-2	1	15.0	13.5	1.50	16.2	13.9	2.24
Keifer Sykes	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	4	-11	13.9	14.8	-0.95	15.6	15.1	0.44
Torrey Craig	61	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	1	-5	15.2	13.4	1.75	15.8	14.7	1.01
Lance Stephenson	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-4	5	15.2	13.4	1.75	15.3	15.3	0.01
Justin Holiday	66	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.2	0.35	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Myles Turner	51	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	9	-21	13.3	15.4	-2.10	14.8	15.7	-0.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	86	87	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-9	21	15.0	16.6	-1.57	14.5	13.9	0.57
Robert Williams III	83	85	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	15.5	14.7	0.77	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Jaylen Brown	89	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	2	-1	15.4	14.7	0.70	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Grant Williams	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.52	-4	7	-11	15.5	15.1	0.47	15.1	13.8	1.30
Marcus Smart	48	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-6	15	15.0	15.6	-0.56	13.8	14.9	-1.17
Al Horford	48	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-1	5	14.1	16.3	-2.22	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Enes Freedom	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	3	-3	15.5	15.3	0.22	15.6	14.2	1.42
Josh Richardson	63	64	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	10	-17	16.0	14.3	1.68	14.2	14.7	-0.40
Dennis Schroder	41	41	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.04	-9	12	-21	16.0	14.9	1.12	14.4	14.4	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.89,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.57,0.1,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.97,1	90.2%
CHI 102, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1	90.2%
PHX 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.92,1	89.4%