NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	7.6 [338]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +89.6%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	2.6 [320]		LVP	Kyle Anderson (MEM): -13.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.90	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.9	0.13	0.71	-0.05	25	61%	0.92	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	22	70%	0.25	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	76%	0.14	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
John Konchar	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	87%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Killian Tillie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.55	0.55	0.10	0.46	0.00	20	61%	0.66	3	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	13	66%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	13	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	28.2	14.8	22.3	2.5	38.6	135.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +46.6%

PHX -7.3%

MEM +22.2%

PHX -17.7%

MEM +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.5	114.0	115.3	110.8
season	14.1	14.2		112.9	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.3		107.5	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.7	14.4	16.8	15.9	15.2
PHX	14.0	15.0	13.7	12.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	69	69	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.37	15	-14	29	15.2	15.1	0.14	13.9	13.9	-0.06
Killian Tillie	37	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.63	-3	4	-7	16.1	14.7	1.37	14.2	13.7	0.44
Desmond Bane	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	-2	5	15.4	14.6	0.74	13.6	14.8	-1.11
Tyus Jones	38	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.71	-12	13	-25	15.1	15.2	-0.14	13.4	14.2	-0.73
John Konchar	73	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	-2	5	15.1	15.4	-0.25	14.1	13.4	0.62
Jaren Jackson Jr.	63	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	-3	7	14.8	15.9	-1.16	13.7	14.2	-0.57
Steven Adams	63	64	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.28	14	-13	27	15.7	14.4	1.25	14.2	13.4	0.82
Brandon Clarke	24	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	8	-15	14.5	15.4	-0.91	13.8	13.9	-0.15
Xavier Tillman	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	13.6	15.4	-1.75	13.1	14.0	-0.88
Kyle Anderson	46	47	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.11	-7	8	-15	15.0	15.4	-0.35	14.3	13.5	0.79

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	30	30	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.13	16	-17	33	14.0	13.8	0.16	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Cameron Payne	47	51	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-9	17	13.7	14.1	-0.44	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Jalen Smith	62	61	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.50	19	-20	39	13.0	15.4	-2.42	15.8	14.3	1.53
Elfrid Payton	16	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	2	-5	14.4	13.8	0.66	15.4	15.1	0.22
Cameron Johnson	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	14.0	13.4	0.62	14.9	16.1	-1.22
JaVale McGee	42	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	14	-29	15.5	12.7	2.74	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Devin Booker	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	7	-15	13.9	13.8	0.15	15.4	14.5	0.91
Chris Paul	74	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.45	-5	4	-9	13.6	14.8	-1.25	15.2	15.2	0.04
Mikal Bridges	67	67	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.36	-15	14	-29	13.9	14.0	-0.12	15.1	15.3	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
NOH 96, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.7%
BOS 101, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.08,0	93.2%