NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	7.6 [337]		MVP	Charles Bassey (PHI): +12.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	2.8 [365]		LVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): -17.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.02	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Skylar Mays	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	61%	0.17	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.32,-0.17,0.01,0.05,0.05	-0.11	0.12	-0.05	17	37%	0.15	2	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Cam Reddish	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
John Collins	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	71%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Delon Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	17	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.07
Paul Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	0.00	-0.15	0.02	16	49%	-0.08	1	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	30.5	14.7	28.2	2.8	34.0	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +58.5%

PHI -8.4%

ATL +24.0%

PHI -36.1%

ATL +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	14.9	14.5	107.7	105.5	110.8
season	14.6	15.2		114.3	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.8	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.0	15.8	17.2	17.1	16.7
PHI	15.8	12.3	15.5	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skylar Mays	62	63	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-7	16	16.9	16.3	0.56	15.8	12.9	2.98
Onyeka Okongwu	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-4	10	17.1	15.9	1.22	15.0	14.7	0.35
Bogdan Bogdanovic	54	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.56	-3	5	-8	16.0	17.8	-1.74	14.5	15.4	-0.90
John Collins	54	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	-1	4	17.2	16.1	1.09	16.1	13.1	2.99
Cam Reddish	53	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	-11	24	17.1	16.2	0.88	14.3	15.8	-1.44
Wes Iwundu	45	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.49	-9	11	-20	16.6	16.9	-0.34	14.6	15.2	-0.65
Delon Wright	63	63	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.18	8	-6	14	17.2	15.6	1.67	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Lance Stephenson	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	9	-16	16.1	16.9	-0.78	14.3	15.1	-0.89
Gorgui Dieng	29	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	15.9	17.1	-1.22	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Jalen Johnson	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	8	-14	14.2	17.1	-2.89	14.0	15.0	-1.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Johnson	24	24	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.18	13	-15	28	13.0	15.6	-2.56	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Paul Reed	14	14	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.21	14	-16	30	13.3	15.2	-1.94	14.4	17.2	-2.80
Charles Bassey	26	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-11	20	14.5	15.1	-0.65	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Isaiah Joe	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-3	4	14.9	14.9	-0.05	15.1	17.4	-2.31
Furkan Korkmaz	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	4	-10	15.2	14.7	0.58	17.7	15.9	1.75
Tyrese Maxey	63	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.51	9	-11	20	14.9	14.9	-0.01	16.4	17.4	-0.96
Matisse Thybulle	58	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	8	-18	14.8	15.2	-0.45	16.9	16.4	0.59
Joel Embiid	65	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	9	-20	15.1	14.5	0.65	17.2	15.7	1.50
Tobias Harris	69	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.21	-14	12	-26	15.5	13.0	2.54	17.2	15.0	2.21
Seth Curry	69	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	13	-28	15.3	13.9	1.40	17.1	15.7	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.4,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.11,0.16,0	90.7%
CLE 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.31,0.15,0.02,0	89.8%
DAL 92, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.14,0.02,0	89.8%