NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	120		Excitement	11.3 [34]		MVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): +74.3%
Toronto Raptors	127		Comeback	39.2 [53]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -42.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.34	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.34	0.15	0.20	0.01	21	71%	0.41	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,0,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.12	0.01	17	58%	0.25	4	-0.11	14	100%	0.14
Zach LaVine	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	10	68%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Matt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.3	-0.05	-0.23	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.74	0.74	0.09	0.65	-0.01	16	62%	0.77	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.24	0.00	15	70%	0.41	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	9	26%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Khem Birch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	22	49%	0.06	3	-0.17	7	86%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42	-0.42	-0.03	-0.38	0.02	19	48%	-0.09	4	-0.34	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	24.7	14.7	25.5	1.7	32.9	1.6	11.2	140.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +40.8%

CHI -5.8%

TOR +11.8%

TOR +4.1%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	14.5	108.1	117.6	110.8
season	14.5	14.9		110.9	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.5		109.9	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	12.8	13.6	14.9	13.2	15.4	13.8
TOR	14.9	15.9	14.5	15.6	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Bradley	23	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-8	9	12.7	14.0	-1.39	16.2	15.1	1.10
Zach LaVine	89	87	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-11	15	13.5	14.7	-1.21	15.5	14.4	1.09
Tyler Cook	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-6	5	16.0	13.6	2.37	13.7	15.4	-1.74
Matt Thomas	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	13.1	13.9	-0.77	16.0	15.1	0.85
Javonte Green	69	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-11	15	13.6	14.0	-0.43	15.8	14.4	1.44
DeMar DeRozan	92	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-9	11	13.5	15.1	-1.56	15.6	14.2	1.39
Ayo Dosunmu	89	88	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	13.6	14.4	-0.81	15.3	15.3	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	34	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	6	-19	15.2	13.1	2.13	13.8	15.9	-2.06
Nikola Vucevic	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	0	-7	13.9	13.3	0.56	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Coby White	49	49	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.17	-19	12	-31	14.5	13.2	1.28	14.4	16.1	-1.68

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	52	52	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-8	23	14.9	15.7	-0.77	14.0	13.6	0.39
OG Anunoby	86	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	14.9	16.8	-1.84	13.7	14.0	-0.24
Fred VanVleet	85	87	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	14.9	16.7	-1.77	14.0	12.8	1.18
Gary Trent Jr.	80	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	1	5	15.0	16.0	-0.99	14.3	12.2	2.10
Precious Achiuwa	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	15.6	15.2	0.42	13.9	13.7	0.24
Pascal Siakam	92	95	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	3	1	15.5	14.0	1.53	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Dalano Banton	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	16.7	14.9	1.77	12.8	14.0	-1.18
Khem Birch	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	17.0	15.2	1.85	13.4	13.8	-0.34
Scottie Barnes	77	80	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.01	-8	15	-23	15.7	14.4	1.24	13.2	15.1	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 108, VAN 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	89.9%
SAC 110, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.78,0.99,1	89.4%
OKC 139, UTA 140	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.79,0.62,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.85,0.95,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	89.4%