NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	9.4 [99]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (LAC): +73.9%
LA Clippers	106		Comeback	2.1 [799]		LVP	Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL): -24.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0.42	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.42	0.10	0.33	0.01	16	64%	0.47	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Franz Wagner	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.09	0.01	10	87%	0.29	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.00	11	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	13	100%	0.12
Gary Harris	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	7	87%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moritz Wagner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	5	20%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.14,0.2,0.74	0.74	0.06	0.70	0.01	21	60%	0.85	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.08	0.02	16	72%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.00	8	89%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.06	-0.04	9	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	11	32%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	11%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	22.6	14.7	26.5	2.7	32.4	124.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +105.8%

ORL -44.9%

LAC +1.8%

LAC +5.4%

ORL -18.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	14.5	113.0	116.5	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		103.4	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.2	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.7	15.8	14.1	15.3	15.4
LAC	16.8	16.2	15.3	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	50	52	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.19	-3	1	-4	15.9	14.9	1.00	14.7	17.9	-3.22
Chuma Okeke	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	2	-6	15.4	15.4	0.00	13.3	17.6	-4.32
R.J. Hampton	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.8	-1.12	12.7	17.7	-5.00
Mo Bamba	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-6	10	15.4	15.5	-0.12	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Franz Wagner	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-5	8	15.1	16.2	-1.13	16.4	15.2	1.21
Gary Harris	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-4	6	15.8	14.7	1.12	17.7	12.7	5.00
Cole Anthony	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-4	6	15.8	14.7	1.12	17.7	12.7	5.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.3	15.6	-0.31	17.3	13.7	3.61
Moritz Wagner	38	37	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	8	-18	15.0	15.7	-0.68	15.8	16.2	-0.46

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.65	-5	7	-12	16.4	15.0	1.49	15.4	15.6	-0.27
Marcus Morris Sr.	44	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	6	-10	17.8	14.4	3.46	15.7	15.2	0.56
Eric Bledsoe	48	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-11	24	14.4	17.9	-3.51	16.0	14.8	1.23
Reggie Jackson	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	2	-2	17.1	14.1	2.97	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Isaiah Hartenstein	40	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-11	24	14.0	17.6	-3.58	15.9	15.1	0.78
Terance Mann	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.47	-7	9	-16	16.5	14.8	1.68	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Brandon Boston Jr.	47	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-4	10	14.4	17.8	-3.46	15.2	15.7	-0.56
Ivica Zubac	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	13	-24	17.6	14.0	3.58	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Justise Winslow	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.19	5	-3	8	14.9	16.7	-1.82	15.0	15.7	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	92.4%
DAL 102, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.36,0.71,0.85,0.92,1	90.9%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	90.9%