NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	121		Excitement	3.5 [1082]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): +12.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	1.1 [630]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -7.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	10	91%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	18	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	4	112%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.09	5	-0.08	13	85%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	38%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.00	0.12	24	56%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.16	0.00	0.15	18	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Bolmaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	19	45%	-0.01	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	29.4	14.8	25.0	1.8	26.2	125.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.1%

ATL +0.4%

ATL +4.6%

MIN -3.2%

ATL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	14.5	122.2	111.1	110.8
season	14.6	13.9		114.3	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.6	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	15.9	16.5	18.7	15.8
MIN	13.9	11.8	15.6	11.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	15.3	18.1	-2.79	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	79	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	4	3	15.5	17.1	-1.57	13.5	12.3	1.21
Trae Young	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	15.3	17.7	-2.35	13.3	13.0	0.38
Clint Capela	64	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	3	5	15.3	16.8	-1.52	13.4	13.0	0.34
John Collins	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	2	7	14.6	17.8	-3.15	13.6	12.7	0.95
Danilo Gallinari	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	12	-13	17.3	14.5	2.84	12.6	13.9	-1.33
Delon Wright	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	9	-7	18.0	14.8	3.13	13.2	13.3	-0.03
Gorgui Dieng	25	27	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	5	1	17.4	15.3	2.02	13.3	13.2	0.12
Lou Williams	30	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	8	-5	17.2	15.2	1.99	12.6	13.5	-0.91

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-19	27	12.6	14.1	-1.53	17.6	13.7	3.94
Josh Okogie	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-6	1	13.3	13.2	0.08	18.1	15.5	2.57
Jordan McLaughlin	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-14	17	12.3	14.0	-1.66	17.8	14.3	3.46
Naz Reid	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-4	-3	13.8	13.1	0.69	16.9	15.5	1.35
Jaden McDaniels	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	13.6	13.0	0.63	15.5	16.1	-0.55
Jarred Vanderbilt	69	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-13	15	12.5	14.9	-2.38	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Leandro Bolmaro	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	0	-11	13.6	13.0	0.62	14.4	16.8	-2.47
Karl-Anthony Towns	85	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	13.4	12.4	0.95	15.6	17.5	-1.92
Taurean Prince	38	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	9	-29	14.7	12.4	2.30	13.4	17.4	-4.07
Anthony Edwards	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	2	-15	13.5	12.1	1.41	15.7	16.7	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 113, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
OKC 125, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%