NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	113		Excitement	3.1 [1186]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +9.6%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.0 [663]		LVP	Devin Brown (UTA): -9.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	18	58%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	8	68%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Nick Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.01	0.06	13	65%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	69%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.08	21	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	40%	-0.02	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	29.1	14.8	23.1	2.3	25.3	119.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +40.0%

UTA -3.3%

SEA +2.8%

SEA +11.1%

UTA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	17.8	15.6	125.6	104.4	104.4
season	15.0	17.0		108.9	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		104.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.2	11.5	13.0	16.8	14.2
UTA	20.1	20.3	17.5	13.8	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-2	23	14.3	13.8	0.52	17.8	17.9	-0.05
Rashard Lewis	37	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	4	11	12.3	15.5	-3.17	21.7	15.0	6.62
Ray Allen	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	11	-3	14.2	14.1	0.03	18.5	16.4	2.04
Robert Swift	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	2	15	14.0	14.3	-0.28	17.8	17.9	-0.04
Nick Collison	32	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	4	11	15.6	13.4	2.17	16.8	18.5	-1.70
Ronald Murray	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	10	-1	14.0	14.4	-0.42	17.1	18.8	-1.74
Johan Petro	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	17	-15	14.3	14.0	0.28	17.9	17.8	0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	31	31	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	14	-9	12.8	14.9	-2.07	20.9	16.2	4.63
Damien Wilkins	53	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	15	-11	15.5	12.3	3.17	15.0	21.7	-6.62
Mikki Moore	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	20	-21	14.1	14.2	-0.13	15.6	18.7	-3.17

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Owens	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-14	9	14.7	18.5	-3.75	14.3	14.1	0.20
Greg Ostertag	17	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-11	3	15.4	18.4	-2.99	16.0	13.7	2.29
Deron Williams	38	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-13	7	16.8	18.6	-1.72	15.5	13.1	2.44
Kris Humphries	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-12	5	15.4	19.8	-4.38	15.3	13.2	2.11
Milt Palacio	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-15	11	18.3	17.3	1.03	14.2	14.1	0.13
Jarron Collins	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-6	-7	18.7	17.1	1.56	13.0	15.0	-2.01
Keith McLeod	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-7	-5	18.5	17.3	1.16	13.3	14.9	-1.52
Devin Brown	60	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-3	-13	18.3	16.9	1.45	13.2	15.9	-2.75
Mehmet Okur	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-11	3	18.5	15.3	3.13	14.5	12.9	1.51
Andrei Kirilenko	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	-3	-13	18.7	12.6	6.10	13.8	16.2	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 108, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIA 89, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%