NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	8.1 [259]		MVP	Georges Niang (PHI): +10.9%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	10.9 [115]		LVP	Clint Capela (ATL): -17.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georges Niang	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.08,0.07	0.01	0.08	0.02	23	52%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.02	14	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	75%	0.23	3	-0.19	6	67%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	58%	0.09	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	2	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.09,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	22	48%	-0.04	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	8	29%	-0.15	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.5	29.4	14.8	36.0	2.8	31.2	144.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.2%

ATL -23.2%

ATL -2.0%

PHI +6.5%

PHI +14.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.8	14.5	106.5	101.1	110.8
season	15.2	14.6		112.4	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.6		113.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.6	18.9	16.8	16.4	16.1
ATL	16.7	14.7	11.5	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	67	71	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-13	28	15.9	16.5	-0.57	15.7	11.9	3.86
Danny Green	65	67	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.57	8	-6	14	16.2	15.6	0.62	15.3	13.4	1.99
Seth Curry	63	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-11	24	15.9	16.4	-0.56	14.8	14.7	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	62	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.57	4	-2	6	16.6	15.0	1.58	14.0	16.6	-2.63
Matisse Thybulle	44	45	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.62	-4	6	-10	16.8	15.4	1.44	15.3	14.2	1.09
Furkan Korkmaz	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.20	8	-6	14	13.0	17.9	-4.95	15.1	14.6	0.56
Georges Niang	55	58	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	8	-14	16.8	14.9	1.87	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Andre Drummond	25	24	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.01	-13	15	-28	16.5	15.9	0.57	11.9	15.7	-3.86
Shake Milton	44	42	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.11	-15	17	-32	16.1	16.1	0.01	14.8	14.7	0.14

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	58	56	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.13	10	-12	22	14.5	15.1	-0.57	15.9	16.3	-0.44
Solomon Hill	23	23	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-8	14	15.4	14.5	0.89	17.0	15.7	1.30
Lou Williams	33	32	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-10	18	15.4	14.4	0.93	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Danilo Gallinari	57	57	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.26	11	-13	24	14.4	15.3	-0.97	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Gorgui Dieng	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	19.0	14.3	4.74	10.2	16.8	-6.58
Clint Capela	58	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	8	-18	15.6	13.5	2.13	16.8	14.9	1.89
John Collins	65	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.53	-2	0	-2	13.7	17.0	-3.33	16.9	14.5	2.38
Trae Young	73	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.46	-8	6	-14	14.5	15.6	-1.14	15.8	16.8	-0.93
Kevin Huerter	62	60	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.47	-10	8	-18	14.4	15.4	-0.93	16.2	15.8	0.39
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	36	35	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.48	-14	12	-26	15.2	14.5	0.75	16.1	16.0	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	91.3%
TOR 115, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	90.7%
GSW 82, POR 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.15,0	90.6%