inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 114 Excitement7.5 [351] MVPJae'Sean Tate (HOU): +37.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 110 Comeback14.5 [91] LVPDanuel House Jr. (HOU): -13.4%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jae'Sean Tate0.370,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.370.190.220.041580%0.463-0.081090%0.06
Armoni Brooks0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.150.190.001090%0.371-0.0300%0.00
Garrison Mathews0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.150.130.030.01787%0.1500.002100%0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.04-0.00875%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Alperen Sengun0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.040.00456%0.0600.001100%0.01
Josh Christopher0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.01853%0.091-0.023100%0.02
Kevin Porter Jr.0.020,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.01762%0.041-0.01250%-0.01
Christian Wood-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Daniel Theis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Eric Gordon-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11-0.170.03-0.021233%0.016-0.1200%0.00
Danuel House Jr.-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.01629%-0.044-0.102100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.240.240.140.120.022657%0.271-0.031687%0.05
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.090.011368%0.202-0.04250%-0.01
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.04-0.00773%0.141-0.031100%0.00
Paul Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00275%0.0600.0000%0.00
Isaiah Roby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00546%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.07-0.01955%-0.011-0.03450%-0.02
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Theo Maledon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00050%-0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Tre Mann0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.050.011341%-0.053-0.081100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.429.514.525.70.242.4137.2
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +55.1%
HOU +1.5%
HOU +5.1%
OKC -11.3%
OKC -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game13.915.714.5116.3113.4110.8
season14.414.4107.5103.2
opponent14.413.9111.2115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.214.213.514.413.9
OKC16.215.816.514.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Theis44430.86-0.361.220.5112-82012.215.2-3.0016.714.91.73
Armoni Brooks59600.83-0.331.160.3915-112614.213.40.7415.515.9-0.41
Garrison Mathews73710.77-0.271.040.3913-92213.814.2-0.4116.812.64.25
Jae'Sean Tate71690.64-0.140.780.466-2814.013.40.6216.713.23.43
Eric Gordon66650.50-0.000.510.4713-213.714.1-0.4016.015.10.84
Kevin Porter Jr.2727-0.030.53-0.560.00-15-613.214.1-0.9315.915.60.27
Kenyon Martin Jr.4140-0.100.60-0.70-0.1004-412.614.7-2.1014.216.8-2.58
Josh Christopher3131-0.190.69-0.88-0.10-37-1015.113.31.7715.016.0-1.02
Christian Wood1818-0.240.74-0.970.09-1115-2616.313.33.0315.415.8-0.37
Alperen Sengun2728-0.270.77-1.05-0.10-610-1615.913.12.7513.316.7-3.33
Danuel House Jr.3333-0.270.77-1.05-0.10-610-1613.614.0-0.3814.216.5-2.33

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aleksej Pokusevski18180.26-0.761.03-0.0611-152613.616.2-2.5514.613.70.92
Ty Jerome34330.23-0.730.950.085-91413.417.0-3.6014.813.41.40
Isaiah Roby30290.17-0.670.850.064-81213.416.7-3.2714.813.51.28
Aaron Wiggins2021-0.07-0.430.370.23-106-1616.515.51.0215.513.42.12
Paul Watson3737-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-1-215.515.8-0.2914.513.51.05
Theo Maledon1415-0.09-0.410.320.08-62-817.115.51.6113.114.0-0.85
Luguentz Dort7475-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.6011-152614.918.3-3.3714.013.30.78
Darius Bazley5252-0.500.00-0.50-0.44-2-2016.115.20.8713.314.5-1.25
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl6769-0.670.17-0.85-0.44-84-1216.713.43.2713.514.8-1.28
Tre Mann6465-0.700.20-0.90-0.50-73-1016.713.73.0213.414.8-1.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7576-0.770.27-1.03-0.33-1511-2616.513.03.5413.315.9-2.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.76,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.03,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 79, SAS 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.09,091.6%
UTA 94, SAC 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,090.8%
CHA 104, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.16,090.8%