NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	8.5 [206]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +31.9%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	1.9 [682]		LVP	Georges Niang (PHI): -20.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	6	42%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	13	63%	0.16	2	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	13	23%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	17	30%	-0.19	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.09
Georges Niang	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.21	0.03	-0.23	0.00	10	50%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.24	0.00	20	58%	0.39	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.06
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.01	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	12	46%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.02
Enes Freedom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	7	37%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	23.6	22.4	28.5	2.5	33.3	138.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +51.8%

BOS +15.7%

PHI -15.2%

PHI -5.9%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	14.5	94.6	94.6	110.8
season	15.2	14.9		112.4	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		105.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	17.1	15.3	17.5	16.4
BOS	15.0	14.2	14.7	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	12	12	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.11	9	-10	19	13.1	16.9	-3.79	17.5	14.4	3.14
Andre Drummond	30	30	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-9	17	15.1	17.0	-1.90	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Shake Milton	43	45	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-6	11	14.8	17.8	-2.94	15.0	14.5	0.54
Danny Green	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	5	-11	15.4	17.2	-1.84	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Georges Niang	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	17.2	15.9	1.32	15.2	14.5	0.66
Tyrese Maxey	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	8	-17	17.4	14.2	3.17	14.1	16.2	-2.10
Matisse Thybulle	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-2	3	16.6	16.2	0.40	15.2	14.4	0.86
Tobias Harris	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	6	-13	16.5	16.1	0.45	14.4	15.5	-1.18
Seth Curry	68	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	4	-9	17.0	14.7	2.21	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Joel Embiid	62	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	8	-17	17.0	15.1	1.90	14.9	14.4	0.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	61	61	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-6	13	14.6	15.1	-0.46	16.6	16.0	0.53
Jayson Tatum	71	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-4	9	14.7	14.8	-0.07	16.6	15.6	1.04
Jaylen Brown	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	-4	9	14.4	15.6	-1.17	16.4	16.2	0.22
Al Horford	59	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-4	9	14.8	14.8	-0.00	16.6	15.9	0.73
Robert Williams III	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	-1	3	14.3	15.3	-1.09	17.3	15.3	2.06
Enes Freedom	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	2	-3	15.1	14.6	0.51	14.5	17.4	-2.93
Dennis Schroder	56	57	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	10	-19	15.2	14.0	1.22	16.0	17.0	-1.05
Grant Williams	27	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.6	14.4	1.17	16.2	16.4	-0.22
Josh Richardson	41	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	6	-11	14.7	14.8	-0.10	16.2	16.5	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.95,1	91.7%
ATL 81, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,1	90.9%
ATL 83, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.83,1	90.9%