NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	8.7 [180]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): +44.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	4.3 [398]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -24.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,0.1	-0.05	0.15	0.01	13	47%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	52%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11	-0.03	-0.12	-0.04	10	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Josh Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	17	39%	-0.02	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	15	44%	-0.06	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.44	0.44	-0.03	0.48	0.00	9	33%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	18	74%	0.29	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	8	37%	-0.11	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	28.6	15.6	22.7	2.4	34.3	131.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +60.5%

ATL -12.3%

MIN +2.9%

ATL -2.5%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.6	95.4	97.7	104.4
season	15.6	16.1		103.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	18.7	15.0	19.1	17.0
MIN	16.9	13.2	15.0	20.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	17	16	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-7	13	22.2	15.8	6.42	14.3	16.7	-2.42
Josh Childress	58	59	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.37	16	-17	33	16.4	18.2	-1.84	17.1	14.6	2.51
Zaza Pachulia	55	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	5	-11	16.0	18.8	-2.85	16.6	15.8	0.79
Marvin Williams	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	3	-7	18.8	15.1	3.70	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Royal Ivey	20	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	10	-21	16.5	17.1	-0.60	14.5	16.8	-2.25
Joe Johnson	74	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-2	3	16.3	20.8	-4.51	16.5	15.2	1.27
Al Harrington	59	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.1	18.9	-2.83	16.1	16.7	-0.70
Josh Smith	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.45	-2	1	-3	15.9	21.3	-5.45	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Tyronn Lue	39	38	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.85	-4	3	-7	20.0	14.6	5.37	16.8	15.9	0.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	78	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-3	7	16.4	15.0	1.41	17.3	13.3	4.05
Trenton Hassell	47	45	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	-1	3	16.7	15.7	0.98	18.0	16.0	1.96
Mark Blount	57	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-2	5	16.4	16.1	0.26	16.5	18.1	-1.54
Marcus Banks	64	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	2	-3	16.3	16.3	0.01	15.8	21.1	-5.37
Justin Reed	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	-1	3	15.5	17.0	-1.51	15.9	18.1	-2.19
Marko Jaric	37	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	1	-1	16.1	16.4	-0.35	18.2	16.1	2.04
Eddie Griffin	60	61	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	3	-5	16.2	16.3	-0.10	16.8	17.5	-0.64
Ronald Dupree	25	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	3	-5	15.8	16.5	-0.73	17.5	16.8	0.71
Mark Madsen	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	2	-3	17.1	16.0	1.14	19.3	16.3	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.98,1	92.4%
CLE 95, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1	92.4%
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	92.3%