NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	8.7 [176]		MVP	Malik Beasley (MIN): +27.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	5.2 [393]		LVP	Caris LeVert (IND): -15.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.16,0.16	-0.03	0.19	-0.00	12	52%	0.29	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.04
Malcolm Brogdon	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	20	54%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Chris Duarte	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	15	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	14	30%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.27	0.27	-0.04	0.31	-0.00	7	50%	0.34	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.13
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	7	72%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	17	55%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.04,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	19	48%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Bolmaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	22	62%	0.23	9	-0.31	8	62%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	4	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	23.7	15.6	30.2	1.8	40.5	138.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +72.0%

IND -20.0%

IND -10.9%

IND -2.1%

MIN +10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	13.9	14.5	99.0	98.0	110.8
season	14.4	13.9		111.4	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		110.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	14.0	15.0	14.6	14.8
MIN	15.1	12.7	12.7	15.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duarte	48	48	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-6	10	15.0	14.5	0.43	12.0	15.6	-3.69
Domantas Sabonis	72	75	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.47	17	-19	36	14.6	15.1	-0.54	14.9	11.3	3.61
Caris LeVert	68	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.53	17	-19	36	14.7	15.0	-0.31	15.0	11.5	3.53
Torrey Craig	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	17.5	14.3	3.11	9.6	14.6	-5.03
Isaiah Jackson	12	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	7	-16	15.3	14.7	0.66	9.2	14.6	-5.36
Goga Bitadze	13	12	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	6	-14	14.3	14.8	-0.52	12.4	14.1	-1.69
Justin Holiday	78	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-4	6	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.0	9.8	5.17
Malcolm Brogdon	83	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-3	4	14.3	17.2	-2.90	14.7	10.1	4.55
T.J. McConnell	69	73	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	9	-20	14.8	14.7	0.03	14.2	13.3	0.89
Kelan Martin	39	38	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.28	-21	19	-40	15.4	14.4	0.99	11.7	15.2	-3.51

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	52	49	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.43	19	-17	36	12.3	15.6	-3.31	14.7	14.8	-0.05
D'Angelo Russell	80	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.30	10	-8	18	14.1	13.4	0.70	15.6	11.9	3.72
Taurean Prince	46	44	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-5	12	14.4	13.5	0.91	15.6	14.1	1.54
Anthony Edwards	84	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	4	-6	14.6	10.8	3.81	14.1	17.8	-3.70
Josh Okogie	71	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.51	-8	10	-18	14.9	11.6	3.35	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Malik Beasley	62	61	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	6	-10	13.6	14.3	-0.68	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Jaylen Nowell	16	15	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	9.1	14.8	-5.75	16.1	14.5	1.62
Leandro Bolmaro	34	34	-0.02	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	11.8	15.0	-3.13	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	67	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.05	-12	14	-26	15.2	11.6	3.64	14.4	15.5	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	90.9%
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	90.8%
UTA 80, SEA 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.78,0.42,1	90.5%