NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	120		Excitement	8.5 [192]		MVP	Chris Paul (PHX): +25.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	2.5 [768]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (CLE): -27.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.25	0.06	0.21	0.02	8	71%	0.32	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.06
Devin Booker	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.16	0.03	0.04	21	73%	0.24	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	9	65%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	8	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	9	64%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	11	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.01	-0.00	15	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.00	13	50%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.04	0.07	10	86%	0.24	3	-0.11	9	78%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	19	44%	-0.06	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	20	33%	-0.20	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.8	14.6	24.8	2.4	41.2	139.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.6%

PHX +13.9%

PHX +3.2%

CLE -6.5%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	13.4	14.7	14.5	116.5	112.7	110.8
season	14.2	15.2		114.0	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		108.5	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.2	12.8	16.0	12.7	13.4
CLE	15.9	13.9	13.4	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	69	69	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.40	23	-18	41	13.2	13.7	-0.46	15.2	13.6	1.67
Jae Crowder	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-7	19	13.4	13.4	-0.05	15.2	13.9	1.32
Mikal Bridges	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.21	4	1	3	13.1	14.0	-0.86	15.1	13.8	1.28
Deandre Ayton	58	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	1	3	13.1	13.8	-0.79	16.5	12.7	3.79
JaVale McGee	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	5	-5	14.4	12.7	1.71	13.4	15.7	-2.32
Devin Booker	83	83	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	7	-9	13.6	12.4	1.18	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Landry Shamet	36	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	8	-11	13.7	13.2	0.50	13.6	15.3	-1.68
Cameron Johnson	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	6	-7	12.4	14.2	-1.75	13.2	16.0	-2.81
Cameron Payne	46	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	17	-29	13.9	13.0	0.85	14.5	14.9	-0.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Denzel Valentine	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	17.8	14.3	3.49	11.6	13.6	-1.97
Kevin Love	51	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-16	27	13.0	16.4	-3.37	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Cedi Osman	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-12	19	13.3	17.1	-3.78	13.2	13.8	-0.64
Isaac Okoro	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	3	-11	15.8	12.4	3.35	13.7	12.9	0.77
Ricky Rubio	65	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-10	15	13.1	17.5	-4.32	12.8	14.5	-1.69
Dean Wade	33	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	8	-21	15.6	14.3	1.33	13.4	13.4	-0.07
Jarrett Allen	80	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-3	1	15.2	12.8	2.41	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Darius Garland	61	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	5	-15	15.8	13.0	2.77	14.5	11.7	2.85
Lauri Markkanen	75	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	7	-19	15.1	13.6	1.56	13.5	13.1	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.34,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, LAL 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.26,0	91.4%
SAC 91, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.08,0	90.7%
SAC 94, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.21,0.33,0.42,0	90.7%