NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	9.3 [110]		MVP	Patty Mills (BKN): +25.2%
Brooklyn Nets	115		Comeback	10.7 [469]		LVP	James Harden (BKN): -30.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuma Okeke	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	8	85%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.01	9	60%	0.18	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Franz Wagner	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	53%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Gary Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	0.04	-0.12	0.02	18	55%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	17	42%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	5	8%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.10	0.02	13	85%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	11	77%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.16	-0.00	16	45%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,-0.05,-0.17,-0.34,-0.31	-0.31	0.00	-0.30	0.01	25	51%	-0.09	6	-0.21	20	95%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	29.5	15.3	26.4	2.3	39.4	142.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +3.2%

BKN +10.2%

BKN +28.3%

BKN +4.1%

BKN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	14.5	116.5	117.3	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		103.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.1	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.3	15.1	15.9	13.7	14.2
BKN	16.5	16.2	12.4	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuma Okeke	39	41	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.00	10	-12	22	14.3	14.2	0.10	15.3	15.2	0.10
Gary Harris	35	35	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.11	11	-13	24	14.9	13.9	1.00	16.5	14.6	1.87
R.J. Hampton	18	18	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.06	1	-3	4	15.4	14.0	1.40	16.7	15.0	1.76
Moritz Wagner	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-2	2	16.9	14.0	2.81	19.7	14.9	4.77
Terrence Ross	67	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-6	10	14.3	14.0	0.31	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Wendell Carter Jr.	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	11	-24	14.7	13.7	1.03	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Jalen Suggs	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	2	-6	13.3	16.8	-3.45	14.0	18.6	-4.60
Mo Bamba	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-1	0	13.8	15.5	-1.72	14.4	17.9	-3.48
Franz Wagner	57	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.54	-5	3	-8	14.0	14.5	-0.51	15.9	14.5	1.41
Cole Anthony	64	65	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.47	-13	11	-24	14.5	13.8	0.65	16.0	13.9	2.08

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	82	81	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-8	18	15.6	13.8	1.76	14.5	12.9	1.64
DeAndre' Bembry	86	84	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-6	14	14.9	18.3	-3.47	14.0	15.6	-1.58
James Johnson	54	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-5	12	15.4	15.2	0.15	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Blake Griffin	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-13	28	13.3	17.6	-4.30	14.9	13.5	1.33
Patty Mills	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-5	12	14.9	16.1	-1.20	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Jevon Carter	47	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	8	-14	15.8	14.8	1.05	14.6	14.0	0.60
LaMarcus Aldridge	44	43	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.31	-10	12	-22	18.2	12.9	5.34	14.1	14.4	-0.28
Cam Thomas	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	7	-12	11.7	16.4	-4.63	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Bruce Brown	32	33	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.15	-16	18	-34	17.3	14.3	3.01	13.6	14.6	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, NOP 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.92,1	90.8%
POR 86, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.95,1	89.9%
MIL 136, HOU 143	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	89.8%