NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	3.8 [1034]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +25.6%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	2.4 [780]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (CHI): -8.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	112%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Alex Caruso	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	6	33%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alize Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	17	64%	0.05	7	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	13	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Javonte Green	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	11	23%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.23	0.05	0.02	24	82%	0.31	6	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	80%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	15	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	54%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	26.5	15.4	30.8	2.8	24.5	129.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.5%

GSW +5.8%

GSW +11.9%

GSW +1.6%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	13.6	14.5	92.1	116.7	110.8
season	14.5	14.2		110.9	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.7	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	14.4	14.8	15.2	14.7
GSW	14.2	15.6	11.4	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	16.1	14.6	1.51	10.7	13.9	-3.27
Matt Thomas	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	16.1	14.6	1.51	10.7	13.9	-3.27
Tyler Cook	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-24	22	15.2	14.6	0.57	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Alize Johnson	45	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-18	10	15.2	14.4	0.76	13.2	14.0	-0.86
Derrick Jones Jr.	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-18	10	16.2	13.8	2.39	14.1	13.3	0.80
Ayo Dosunmu	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-7	-12	14.8	14.7	0.05	12.6	14.2	-1.54
Javonte Green	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-18	10	13.3	15.5	-2.22	13.9	13.5	0.36
Alex Caruso	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	-10	-6	15.2	14.2	1.07	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Tony Bradley	28	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-13	0	13.7	15.1	-1.36	14.6	13.2	1.40
DeMar DeRozan	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-13	0	15.3	13.2	2.05	14.2	12.0	2.24
Zach LaVine	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	-7	-12	14.1	16.8	-2.75	13.5	14.1	-0.58
Lonzo Ball	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	-8	-10	14.1	16.9	-2.78	13.9	12.7	1.28

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	73	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.29	31	-5	36	13.6	13.7	-0.01	15.2	13.6	1.61
Andrew Wiggins	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	13	0	14.4	12.4	2.09	13.8	16.2	-2.37
Kevon Looney	42	43	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	12	2	14.8	12.8	2.02	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Andre Iguodala	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.26	19	7	12	13.9	13.5	0.44	15.4	14.4	0.98
Gary Payton II	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	10	6	14.3	13.1	1.18	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Draymond Green	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	16	-6	13.4	14.0	-0.68	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Jordan Poole	67	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	18	-10	13.1	14.6	-1.45	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Nemanja Bjelica	35	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.19	10	16	-6	12.2	14.4	-2.16	15.0	14.6	0.40
Jonathan Kuminga	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	19	-12	13.1	13.9	-0.75	15.7	14.3	1.43
Juan Toscano-Anderson	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	10.7	13.9	-3.27	16.1	14.6	1.51
Otto Porter Jr.	32	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	26	-26	13.8	13.6	0.29	16.1	14.2	1.90
Moses Moody	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	27	-28	13.5	13.7	-0.21	14.7	14.7	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 78, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NYK 82, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 95, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%