NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	8.1 [255]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): +67.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	23.1 [92]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -35.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.67	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.67	0.12	0.55	0.00	14	79%	0.75	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.07	-0.02	12	75%	0.26	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Corey Kispert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.18,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.38,-0.26,-0.36	-0.17	-0.19	-0.00	19	31%	-0.20	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	60%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	54%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.08	0.03	15	53%	0.13	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tacko Fall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	16	59%	0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.11	4	-0.13	4	25%	-0.06
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	0.6	26.5	15.3	25.4	2.5	38.5	137.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.6%

WAS +5.7%

WAS +12.8%

WAS +6.1%

CLE -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	14.5	102.1	101.1	110.8
season	14.9	15.2		109.8	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.5	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	14.5	17.7	13.8	15.1
CLE	14.8	15.5	15.7	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	73	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-4	11	15.2	14.8	0.40	15.6	15.4	0.17
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-2	7	14.4	16.5	-2.14	15.8	15.0	0.79
Kyle Kuzma	69	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	0	3	15.4	14.5	0.92	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	58	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	6	-9	14.5	16.1	-1.56	16.2	14.5	1.72
Montrezl Harrell	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-2	7	15.3	14.9	0.45	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Corey Kispert	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.18	10	-7	17	14.4	15.4	-1.04	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Daniel Gafford	43	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	7	-11	15.0	15.2	-0.19	16.4	14.8	1.64
Deni Avdija	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	16.3	14.6	1.67	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Raul Neto	34	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	3	-3	16.5	14.4	2.14	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Aaron Holiday	28	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	9	-15	14.8	15.3	-0.43	15.3	15.6	-0.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	53	54	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.22	7	-10	17	16.0	14.8	1.17	15.5	14.6	0.95
Isaac Okoro	52	55	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.26	-2	-1	-1	16.3	14.5	1.80	16.4	13.4	2.98
Darius Garland	69	73	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-8	13	15.9	14.3	1.65	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Dylan Windler	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-6	9	15.0	15.7	-0.77	15.4	15.0	0.41
Tacko Fall	1	0	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	0.0	15.7	-15.68	0.0	15.1	-15.13
Ricky Rubio	54	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-5	7	15.5	15.5	0.05	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Jarrett Allen	74	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	3	-9	15.4	15.8	-0.34	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Cedi Osman	56	57	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.70	1	-4	5	15.1	16.2	-1.07	14.8	15.6	-0.84
Lamar Stevens	33	30	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.36	-12	9	-21	13.8	16.5	-2.68	14.4	15.5	-1.06
Evan Mobley	47	52	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.53	-11	8	-19	15.9	15.1	0.76	15.4	14.8	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.58,0	93.0%
HOU 90, LAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.91,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.72,0	92.3%
PHX 104, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.58,0	91.5%