NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	7.8 [312]		MVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): +42.9%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	13.9 [39]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -33.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	9	81%	0.31	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.06
Royce O'Neale	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	6	93%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Trent Forrest	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	57%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Paschall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	13	23%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	9	28%	-0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.38,-0.34	-0.09	-0.24	0.01	24	41%	-0.11	3	-0.23	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.43	0.43	0.23	0.22	0.02	20	79%	0.48	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	-0.02	0.02	14	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0,0,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	4	80%	0.25	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	12	16%	-0.10	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	28.8	14.8	27.2	2.8	30.2	129.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +78.7%

UTA -19.0%

UTA -23.2%

ORL +15.8%

UTA -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	14.5	103.1	110.3	110.8
season	14.8	14.4		115.1	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.0	14.2	16.1	16.7	16.2
ORL	13.9	15.2	12.7	12.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	32	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-9	11	16.8	15.9	0.87	13.1	13.6	-0.51
Trent Forrest	31	29	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-8	9	15.4	16.6	-1.28	13.8	13.3	0.42
Jordan Clarkson	56	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-3	-1	16.1	16.4	-0.33	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Hassan Whiteside	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	16.4	16.1	0.27	13.6	13.4	0.25
Rudy Gobert	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	16.1	16.4	-0.27	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Joe Ingles	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.15	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Royce O'Neale	69	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	-1	-5	16.3	15.9	0.42	13.5	13.3	0.28
Donovan Mitchell	66	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	1	-9	16.6	15.4	1.28	13.3	13.8	-0.42
Bojan Bogdanovic	64	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	2	-11	16.0	16.7	-0.76	13.7	12.9	0.77

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
R.J. Hampton	41	40	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.47	14	-7	21	13.3	13.6	-0.21	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Wendell Carter Jr.	63	63	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.19	21	-14	35	13.6	13.2	0.40	17.4	14.0	3.47
Cole Anthony	66	64	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-7	21	13.9	12.6	1.25	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Franz Wagner	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	3	1	13.7	12.9	0.84	16.3	16.1	0.16
Gary Harris	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	11	-15	13.6	13.2	0.40	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Mo Bamba	46	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.17	5	2	3	13.0	13.9	-0.97	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Chuma Okeke	41	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.08	1	6	-5	12.9	13.9	-1.06	15.9	16.5	-0.65
Moritz Wagner	6	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	15	-23	13.3	13.5	-0.14	12.7	16.5	-3.79
Jalen Suggs	51	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	9	-11	12.8	14.2	-1.35	16.9	15.5	1.38
Terrence Ross	44	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	17	-27	14.0	13.0	1.02	15.5	16.9	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.55,0.97,1,1	90.0%
NJN 118, POR 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.53,0.62,0.43,0.78,0.98,1	89.8%
ATL 67, ORL 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	89.7%