NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	96		Excitement	6.5 [537]		MVP	Blake Griffin (BKN): +10.9%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.4 [1104]		LVP	Jerami Grant (DET): -20.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	72%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	9	73%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.08,0.01,0.04,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	27	50%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	10	54%	0.10	9	-0.21	4	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	4	38%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.01	5	80%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2,-0.13,-0.22,-0.08,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	17	47%	0.03	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.04	-0.00	9	21%	-0.12	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	25.5	15.4	28.2	1.5	38.2	138.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +40.6%

BKN +6.1%

DET -8.8%

BKN +6.6%

BKN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.5	96.0	91.8	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		112.8	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.5	15.9	13.2	16.1	14.9
DET	14.9	12.9	14.5	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	57	57	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.21	22	-16	38	13.9	16.1	-2.19	14.2	14.2	-0.00
Kevin Durant	77	75	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-14	34	14.2	17.0	-2.80	14.3	13.7	0.65
Bruce Brown	56	55	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-12	30	14.1	15.9	-1.78	14.1	14.3	-0.11
James Harden	77	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-9	24	14.4	16.4	-1.95	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Joe Harris	69	67	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-11	28	14.9	14.8	0.12	14.2	14.2	-0.05
DeAndre' Bembry	34	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.7	0.43	14.4	14.1	0.38
Jevon Carter	21	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	16	-26	16.0	14.6	1.41	14.6	14.1	0.51
Patty Mills	43	42	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	18	-30	15.9	14.1	1.74	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Paul Millsap	23	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	20	-34	17.0	14.2	2.80	13.7	14.3	-0.65
LaMarcus Aldridge	43	41	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.11	-16	22	-38	16.1	13.9	2.19	14.2	14.2	0.00

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	22	23	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.14	13	-19	32	14.8	14.0	0.75	16.3	14.5	1.78
Frank Jackson	31	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.20	11	-17	28	14.5	14.1	0.38	16.1	14.3	1.80
Rodney McGruder	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	16.3	14.0	2.25	15.6	14.8	0.73
Cory Joseph	59	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-15	24	14.2	14.2	-0.06	15.5	14.0	1.46
Isaiah Stewart	43	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-7	8	16.0	12.8	3.22	17.0	13.4	3.56
Kelly Olynyk	78	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-9	12	13.3	17.7	-4.47	14.2	18.1	-3.86
Josh Jackson	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	8	-22	14.3	13.9	0.38	14.5	15.6	-1.10
Cade Cunningham	62	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	10	-26	14.2	14.1	0.13	15.1	14.5	0.64
Saddiq Bey	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.08	-19	13	-32	13.6	15.3	-1.72	13.8	17.0	-3.20
Jerami Grant	81	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	6	-18	14.1	14.6	-0.55	14.6	16.5	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.05,0	92.5%
MIL 100, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.26,0	92.3%
SAS 98, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	92.0%