NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	117		Excitement	8.2 [244]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +32.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	4.7 [655]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (HOU): -16.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	19	60%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.05
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	8	87%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Armoni Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	44%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	15	67%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07	0.03	-0.07	0.03	15	75%	0.17	7	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	38%	-0.03	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.19	-0.03	21	68%	0.43	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	9	83%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	21	54%	0.11	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	18	61%	0.14	4	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	26.6	15.3	26.5	2.5	38.5	137.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -6.6%

LAL +16.1%

LAL +15.2%

LAL +31.2%

HOU -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	12.5	14.5	109.3	111.2	110.8
season	14.4	14.3		107.5	109.5
opponent	14.2	13.9		112.2	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	15.4	14.0	15.2	14.5
LAL	12.8	10.0	12.7	14.8	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armoni Brooks	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	14.4	14.5	-0.06	11.4	12.7	-1.34
Alperen Sengun	57	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	0	-2	15.3	13.5	1.87	12.1	12.9	-0.72
D.J. Augustin	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	2	-6	15.4	14.1	1.31	11.0	13.0	-1.98
Kenyon Martin Jr.	61	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-6	10	14.5	14.4	0.08	12.5	12.4	0.04
Christian Wood	85	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	13.3	18.9	-5.60	12.8	11.1	1.72
Jae'Sean Tate	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-3	4	14.5	14.3	0.24	12.9	11.3	1.69
Jalen Green	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-2	2	14.2	15.4	-1.24	13.0	10.6	2.36
Kevin Porter Jr.	87	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-1	0	14.3	14.9	-0.61	13.0	10.3	2.65
David Nwaba	33	32	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	12	-26	15.8	13.8	2.01	10.2	13.4	-3.19

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-6	14	12.8	11.4	1.44	15.0	12.8	2.22
Kent Bazemore	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.50	2	0	2	13.3	11.5	1.76	15.0	13.8	1.16
Avery Bradley	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	13.3	11.2	2.09	13.4	16.0	-2.62
Carmelo Anthony	65	65	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	0	2	11.2	14.3	-3.09	15.4	13.0	2.32
Anthony Davis	72	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	3	-4	12.9	11.5	1.40	14.0	15.4	-1.41
DeAndre Jordan	35	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	-1	4	11.5	12.9	-1.40	15.4	14.0	1.41
Russell Westbrook	83	85	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	9	-16	12.7	11.6	1.13	13.8	16.9	-3.03
Austin Reaves	47	46	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	-1	4	11.5	13.2	-1.73	15.3	13.9	1.41
Malik Monk	31	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	3	-4	11.6	12.8	-1.19	12.8	15.2	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.67,0.57,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
BOS 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.62,0.63,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,1	92.9%
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.8%