NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	6.6 [469]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +44.1%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	4.3 [378]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -19.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.01	12	54%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	65%	0.02	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Donny Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	-0.00	15	64%	0.04	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Mark West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	6	61%	-0.02	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	15	27%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	17	46%	-0.07	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.14	0.26	-0.04	13	76%	0.46	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	13	65%	0.09	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.03
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.07	5	-0.14	10	60%	-0.06
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	10	54%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	4	33%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	27.5	15.7	26.2	2.4	39.2	138.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +69.9%

CLE -12.6%

CLE -5.4%

CLE -5.2%

PHX +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	18.8	14.8	15.6	102.3	110.6	104.4
season	17.8	14.6		102.1	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		106.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	19.1	20.9	17.5	18.8
PHX	13.3	15.9	15.1	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	58	59	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-12	18	19.4	17.6	1.74	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Mark West	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-5	4	17.6	19.1	-1.54	15.8	14.6	1.19
Danny Ferry	63	62	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-13	20	19.1	18.0	1.17	15.3	13.5	1.82
Donny Marshall	15	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	3	-12	16.1	19.4	-3.25	11.2	15.6	-4.43
Terrell Brandon	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-9	12	18.0	20.3	-2.36	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Vitaly Potapenko	13	12	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	5	-16	17.4	19.1	-1.68	15.0	14.8	0.18
Bob Sura	64	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	18.9	18.5	0.42	14.9	14.8	0.08
Chris Mills	76	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	19.2	15.6	3.64	15.2	12.2	2.94
Bobby Phills	70	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.30	-14	8	-22	19.3	16.7	2.61	15.2	13.4	1.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	66	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	14.8	14.9	-0.06	19.8	15.4	4.42
Kevin Johnson	72	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-3	12	14.5	16.8	-2.27	18.4	21.0	-2.58
Cedric Ceballos	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-2	10	14.9	13.6	1.33	18.5	24.0	-5.51
Danny Manning	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	3	0	14.4	16.4	-2.03	19.3	17.1	2.15
Wesley Person	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	4	-2	14.5	15.6	-1.11	18.7	19.0	-0.23
Mark Bryant	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	0	6	16.0	14.3	1.69	19.4	18.5	0.92
Steve Nash	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	5	-4	14.2	14.9	-0.73	17.7	18.9	-1.20
Hot Rod Williams	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	8	-10	15.3	14.7	0.66	18.7	18.8	-0.15
Wayman Tisdale	32	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	14	-22	15.9	14.2	1.65	17.4	19.6	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.96,1	93.3%
NJN 83, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.95,1	93.3%
LAC 73, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.0%