NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	134		Excitement	10.6 [53]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (WAS): +50.8%
Washington Wizards	135		Comeback	18.8 [85]		LVP	Malcolm Brogdon (IND): -21.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36	0.19	0.17	0.01	13	82%	0.50	3	-0.14	8	75%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0.33	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.31	0.06	0.03	22	77%	0.36	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Justin Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	8	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duarte	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	16	47%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21	0.08	-0.26	0.03	22	61%	0.25	3	-0.46	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.21	0.30	-0.00	24	68%	0.56	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.38	0.38	0.10	0.26	-0.02	13	59%	0.38	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	17	72%	0.30	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.08	0.00	11	72%	0.12	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.16	0.00	4	78%	-0.00	1	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	1.0	27.2	15.4	31.2	1.5	29.7	1.8	14.2	150.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.3%

WAS +13.7%

IND -26.2%

WAS +32.1%

IND -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.5	126.4	127.4	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		111.4	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.1	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	12.2	15.0	14.8	17.5	13.2	14.5
WAS	16.1	13.3	15.9	17.6	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Wanamaker	5	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	19.0	14.3	4.68	10.5	15.7	-5.16
Jeremy Lamb	44	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.64	18	-19	37	14.1	14.9	-0.76	15.9	15.1	0.83
Oshae Brissett	19	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	5	-11	13.7	14.7	-0.98	13.0	15.9	-2.93
Domantas Sabonis	86	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-7	13	14.4	15.0	-0.63	15.8	14.0	1.88
Justin Holiday	42	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	14	-29	14.7	14.4	0.29	14.9	15.8	-0.87
T.J. McConnell	50	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	5	-11	14.1	14.9	-0.79	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Myles Turner	85	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-4	7	15.0	12.7	2.33	15.7	14.6	1.06
Torrey Craig	22	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	4	-9	13.9	14.7	-0.79	15.2	15.5	-0.38
Chris Duarte	91	91	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-5	9	14.4	15.5	-1.08	15.6	14.4	1.24
Malcolm Brogdon	86	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-1	1	14.8	13.3	1.53	15.7	14.5	1.14

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	46	49	1.20	-0.70	1.90	0.88	11	-10	21	14.8	15.9	-1.09	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Montrezl Harrell	68	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-8	17	15.5	15.4	0.11	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-2	5	15.0	16.4	-1.37	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	0	1	15.4	15.5	-0.04	15.1	13.5	1.57
Corey Kispert	22	22	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	-7	15	14.4	15.7	-1.39	12.5	15.1	-2.57
Deni Avdija	35	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	0	1	15.5	15.5	-0.01	13.2	15.2	-2.00
Kyle Kuzma	76	75	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.45	-12	13	-25	15.5	15.3	0.23	14.8	13.8	1.03
Aaron Holiday	50	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	3	-5	16.8	14.2	2.61	14.9	14.2	0.68
Daniel Gafford	37	36	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.5	15.5	-0.00	14.6	14.5	0.07
Raul Neto	58	55	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.28	-6	7	-13	15.6	15.2	0.39	15.2	13.8	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.23,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 116, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.8,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.15,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.41,1	87.1%
CHA 92, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.75,0.37,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.42,1	86.5%
SAC 116, DEN 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.72,1	85.6%