NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	122		Excitement	8.4 [206]		MVP	Eric Paschall (GSW): +29.1%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	2.7 [419]		LVP	Nico Mannion (GSW): -18.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wenyen Gabriel	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Didi Louzada	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Nunnally	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	14	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Kira Lewis Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.16,-0.03,-0.15	0.08	-0.19	0.04	24	55%	-0.10	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.23	-0.00	5	80%	0.34	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.24	0.03	0.02	17	80%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.07,-0.03,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.03	0.05	22	69%	0.32	2	-0.12	11	91%	0.04
Kevon Looney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Alen Smailagic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Nico Mannion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.18	-0.01	12	41%	-0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.3	28.7	15.6	33.1	2.8	33.9	142.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +63.5%

GSW +5.5%

NOP -6.5%

NOP -24.7%

GSW +12.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.0	14.4	116.2	119.0	111.3
season	14.0	13.5		112.4	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		108.8	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.2	13.8	13.3	11.5	13.4
GSW	14.8	11.6	15.0	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Nunnally	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	18.0	13.3	4.65	6.0	14.2	-8.19
Eric Bledsoe	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	13.9	13.1	0.74	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Willy Hernangomez	52	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-2	1	13.2	13.6	-0.39	13.9	14.1	-0.19
James Johnson	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	13.6	13.3	0.32	13.4	14.5	-1.06
Didi Louzada	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	2	-7	13.7	13.1	0.51	13.9	14.2	-0.34
Kira Lewis Jr.	63	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	13.0	14.0	-0.94	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Wenyen Gabriel	66	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	13.3	13.6	-0.32	14.5	13.4	1.06
Jaxson Hayes	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-1	-1	13.6	13.2	0.39	14.1	13.9	0.19
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	87	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-2	1	13.6	12.6	1.01	14.4	12.6	1.83
Naji Marshall	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	2	-7	13.1	14.4	-1.37	14.3	13.1	1.23

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	38	38	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	0	3	14.7	13.6	1.10	14.2	13.0	1.20
Mychal Mulder	75	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-6	15	14.1	14.0	0.10	13.2	13.9	-0.75
Kent Bazemore	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	13.5	15.2	-1.69	12.7	15.0	-2.33
Juan Toscano-Anderson	76	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.30	4	-1	5	13.6	15.2	-1.57	13.2	13.9	-0.68
Jordan Poole	74	73	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	0	3	13.9	14.3	-0.31	13.2	13.8	-0.65
Kevon Looney	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-8	19	12.8	15.1	-2.29	13.6	13.2	0.39
Nico Mannion	68	70	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	12	-21	14.2	13.8	0.43	13.7	12.7	1.01
Alen Smailagic	40	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	10	-17	15.9	12.9	3.01	13.8	13.1	0.72
Jordan Bell	30	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	6	-9	14.8	13.7	1.07	13.9	13.2	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.7,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.08,1	92.3%
MIL 94, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.27,1	91.7%
IND 89, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.57,0.58,1	91.7%