inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement6.6 [469] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +40.5%
Detroit Pistons 96 Comeback2.7 [462] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -20.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.350,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.350.210.170.041286%0.3500.00475%-0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.06-0.01764%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Monta Ellis0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,00.12-0.100.022262%0.052-0.05475%-0.00
Ekpe Udoh0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01753%0.021-0.033100%0.01
Marquis Daniels-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01935%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Beno Udrih-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01333%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.001235%-0.071-0.012100%0.01
Larry Sanders-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.110.00440%-0.121-0.0220%-0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.40.400.090.31-0.001656%0.4000.004100%0.10
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.014100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.01-0.02869%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kim English0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Kyle Singler0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.02-0.041131%-0.001-0.024100%0.02
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.00862%0.062-0.0900%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001252%0.033-0.07367%-0.01
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.01-0.02944%0.045-0.1100%0.00
Brandon Knight0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.09-0.14-0.021242%0.014-0.22250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.025.217.824.81.631.4126.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +18.5%
DET +27.4%
DET +32.4%
MIL -29.3%
DET +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDETNBAMILDETNBA
this game15.216.815.4104.4106.7104.1
season14.715.7101.6102.3
opponent15.515.3106.6103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.814.914.816.215.2
DET15.916.418.616.516.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ekpe Udoh23220.04-0.540.58-0.177-91613.415.8-2.3717.416.70.69
Mike Dunleavy50530.02-0.520.55-0.3914-163014.515.9-1.3817.515.91.62
Drew Gooden3030-0.08-0.420.33-0.142-4615.015.2-0.2817.116.70.38
Brandon Jennings6972-0.13-0.370.23-0.254-61015.613.62.0016.717.3-0.61
Beno Udrih3231-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-97-1614.715.4-0.7316.617.0-0.35
Ersan Ilyasova4950-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.363-5815.015.4-0.3916.916.70.17
Monta Ellis7877-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.453-5815.016.2-1.1717.115.61.44
Luc Mbah a Moute4240-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.25-75-1215.215.10.1516.716.9-0.17
Larry Sanders3738-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.13-119-2016.414.32.1216.317.2-0.87
Marquis Daniels4037-0.520.02-0.55-0.05-1614-3015.914.51.3815.917.5-1.62

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Bynum47470.82-0.321.140.646-41015.118.8-3.6815.115.3-0.19
Jason Maxiell48490.420.080.340.275-3817.616.01.5815.115.2-0.12
Greg Monroe53530.340.160.180.37-13-417.615.81.7614.815.6-0.84
Tayshaun Prince65640.280.220.060.34-24-617.914.23.7214.616.5-1.89
Brandon Knight66650.280.220.050.42-57-1217.714.53.1414.616.6-2.00
Austin Daye25260.220.28-0.060.104-2614.217.9-3.7216.514.61.89
Andre Drummond37370.160.34-0.180.073-1415.817.6-1.7615.614.80.84
Charlie Villanueva42410.080.42-0.340.17-35-816.017.6-1.5815.215.10.12
Kim English1011-0.010.51-0.520.05-24-617.416.80.6213.515.4-1.83
Kyle Singler5757-0.080.58-0.66-0.235-3817.216.21.0516.213.42.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 102, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.08,191.6%
NOP 87, CHA 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.81,0.63,0.69,0.42,191.1%
BOS 82, ORL 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.58,190.9%