NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	115		Excitement	11.8 [20]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (WAS): +59.5%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	24.4 [47]		LVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): -53.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Steven Adams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	-0.09	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,-0.09	0.08	-0.15	0.02	27	57%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	6	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Lonzo Ball	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	10	20%	-0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	-0.53	0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.53	-0.11	-0.45	-0.03	18	50%	-0.07	7	-0.47	6	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.05,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.59	0.59	0.10	0.48	-0.02	24	61%	0.68	4	-0.09	11	64%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.16	0.01	11	64%	0.02	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.05
Rui Hachimura	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	13	21%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32,-0.41,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.08	-0.32	-0.00	29	43%	-0.18	4	-0.23	11	91%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	33.5	15.3	26.4	1.8	33.0	2.5	15.9	154.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +51.5%

WAS +16.3%

NOP -32.2%

WAS +22.1%

NOP -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	WAS	NBA	NOP	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	12.9	14.4	100.0	100.0	111.3
season	14.0	13.3		112.4	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.4		112.4	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	14.9	13.1	15.0	16.2	12.0	14.5
WAS	11.8	14.1	13.3	12.1	14.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willy Hernangomez	44	46	0.50	-1.00	1.51	0.18	11	-13	24	14.7	14.4	0.28	12.6	13.2	-0.58
Naji Marshall	74	73	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.14	15	-17	32	13.8	15.8	-2.01	12.9	13.0	-0.02
Wes Iwundu	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	0.0	14.5	-14.49	11.0	13.0	-1.96
James Johnson	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	10	-22	16.1	13.0	3.13	12.1	13.7	-1.57
Kira Lewis Jr.	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.18	-13	11	-24	17.2	13.1	4.11	12.1	13.4	-1.22
Jaxson Hayes	19	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	9	-20	15.3	14.3	0.93	13.2	12.9	0.37
Eric Bledsoe	76	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.63	11	-13	24	13.1	17.2	-4.11	13.4	12.1	1.22
Brandon Ingram	94	94	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-7	12	13.7	18.0	-4.30	13.2	11.9	1.28
Steven Adams	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.69	7	-9	16	13.4	16.1	-2.70	13.4	12.3	1.12
Lonzo Ball	41	43	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	15	-32	15.8	13.8	2.01	13.0	12.9	0.09
Zion Williamson	67	70	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.69	-6	4	-10	15.0	13.7	1.34	12.9	12.9	0.01

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	55	53	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.54	16	-14	30	12.6	13.2	-0.61	15.6	13.5	2.14
Russell Westbrook	97	93	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.55	6	-4	10	12.9	13.2	-0.37	14.7	13.7	1.00
Raul Neto	35	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-6	14	13.3	12.8	0.45	15.1	14.2	0.85
Isaac Bonga	46	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.16	13	-11	24	12.3	13.3	-0.98	16.1	13.5	2.63
Bradley Beal	94	95	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.57	-13	15	-28	13.1	12.2	0.90	13.9	17.3	-3.41
Ish Smith	31	29	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	-4	10	11.5	13.5	-1.94	17.1	13.6	3.45
Deni Avdija	44	45	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	0	2	13.3	12.7	0.53	14.6	14.4	0.11
Alex Len	35	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	7	-12	13.4	12.7	0.66	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Garrison Mathews	15	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	7	-12	12.0	13.1	-1.08	12.9	14.7	-1.86
Rui Hachimura	84	82	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	15	-28	13.2	12.3	0.93	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Robin Lopez	27	26	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.09	-9	11	-20	13.0	12.9	0.08	13.1	14.9	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.27,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.76,0.91,1	88.9%
LAL 122, GSW 125	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.73,1	88.7%
MIA 94, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.72,1	88.6%