inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 121 Excitement9.2 [126] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +49.2%
Golden State Warriors 122 Comeback34.1 [35] LVPPat Connaughton (MIL): -21.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Teague0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.150.06-0.00788%0.2100.003100%0.02
Jrue Holiday0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.07,0.140.060.08-0.011874%0.398-0.253100%0.01
Bryn Forbes0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.060.00580%0.1200.0000%0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.01491%0.1100.00367%-0.01
Bobby Portis0.100,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.011059%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Brook Lopez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.01943%0.0100.003100%0.02
Axel Toupane0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00837%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Khris Middleton-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,-0.120.05-0.18-0.001964%0.025-0.156100%0.07
Pat Connaughton-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.21-0.06-0.150.00621%-0.2100.00250%-0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.49,0.490.490.270.230.002180%0.584-0.09989%0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.260.260.030.260.041459%0.343-0.08475%0.13
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.20.200.140.060.001082%0.231-0.042100%0.01
James Wiseman0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.021348%0.0700.001100%0.00
Jordan Poole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.00953%0.0300.001100%0.01
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Damion Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03837%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.2-0.20-0.07-0.14-0.011530%-0.2000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.33.525.416.430.22.836.1141.7
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +13.8%
GSW +14.2%
GSW +1.6%
GSW +16.4%
GSW +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILGSWNBAMILGSWNBA
this game14.214.314.4119.8120.8111.3
season13.513.5114.8109.9
opponent14.514.7108.8109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.816.013.014.214.2
GSW14.412.814.215.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis61630.25-0.751.010.086-71313.615.1-1.5313.815.0-1.19
Jeff Teague33330.08-0.580.670.14-21-314.214.2-0.0214.414.20.11
Thanasis Antetokounmpo41400.08-0.580.65-0.044-5914.813.81.0114.014.4-0.39
Bryn Forbes30290.06-0.560.610.14-32-514.214.3-0.0914.514.20.32
Jordan Nwora55-0.02-0.480.460.01-10-117.214.13.1315.614.21.38
Axel Toupane11-0.07-0.430.350.01-32-56.014.3-8.3118.014.23.75
Khris Middleton7778-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.517-81514.015.0-1.0114.812.42.45
Pat Connaughton5151-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.709-101914.514.00.4514.614.00.57
Brook Lopez7170-0.620.12-0.74-0.47-54-914.214.3-0.0614.214.5-0.28
Donte DiVincenzo6364-0.660.16-0.82-0.54-43-714.114.4-0.3514.114.6-0.57
Jrue Holiday7271-0.870.37-1.23-0.48-1312-2514.613.41.1914.015.0-0.97

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevon Looney35350.76-0.261.010.702-1314.714.10.5713.914.4-0.48
Kent Bazemore54540.64-0.140.780.67-12-314.913.61.3714.114.3-0.17
Kelly Oubre Jr.78800.63-0.130.770.495-4914.114.8-0.7014.214.4-0.25
Stephen Curry78790.63-0.130.750.543-2514.214.7-0.4714.513.21.34
Andrew Wiggins70690.430.070.370.52-34-714.413.90.5114.014.6-0.58
Draymond Green6262-0.060.56-0.63-0.215-4914.014.8-0.7914.513.70.83
Jordan Poole3434-0.100.60-0.69-0.183-2514.314.3-0.0315.013.81.16
Damion Lee3837-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-23-514.314.30.0514.114.3-0.23
James Wiseman5655-0.330.83-1.17-0.13-78-1513.914.7-0.7613.714.9-1.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.23,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 97, TOR 1020.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.36,0.55,0.91,189.5%
IND 96, CHI 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.31,0.45,0.34,0.57,188.9%
MIA 65, BOS 700.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,188.6%