NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	121		Excitement	9.2 [126]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +49.2%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	34.1 [35]		LVP	Pat Connaughton (MIL): -21.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.06	-0.00	7	88%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.07,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.01	18	74%	0.39	8	-0.25	3	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	91%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	59%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Axel Toupane	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,-0.12	0.05	-0.18	-0.00	19	64%	0.02	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.07
Pat Connaughton	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	6	21%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.27	0.23	0.00	21	80%	0.58	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.26	0.04	14	59%	0.34	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.13
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	0.00	10	82%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	15	30%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.5	25.4	16.4	30.2	2.8	36.1	141.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +13.8%

GSW +14.2%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +16.4%

GSW +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.4	119.8	120.8	111.3
season	13.5	13.5		114.8	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	16.0	13.0	14.2	14.2
GSW	14.4	12.8	14.2	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	61	63	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.08	6	-7	13	13.6	15.1	-1.53	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Jeff Teague	33	33	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	1	-3	14.2	14.2	-0.02	14.4	14.2	0.11
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	41	40	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-5	9	14.8	13.8	1.01	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Bryn Forbes	30	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.14	-3	2	-5	14.2	14.3	-0.09	14.5	14.2	0.32
Jordan Nwora	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	0	-1	17.2	14.1	3.13	15.6	14.2	1.38
Axel Toupane	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	2	-5	6.0	14.3	-8.31	18.0	14.2	3.75
Khris Middleton	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.51	7	-8	15	14.0	15.0	-1.01	14.8	12.4	2.45
Pat Connaughton	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.70	9	-10	19	14.5	14.0	0.45	14.6	14.0	0.57
Brook Lopez	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	4	-9	14.2	14.3	-0.06	14.2	14.5	-0.28
Donte DiVincenzo	63	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	3	-7	14.1	14.4	-0.35	14.1	14.6	-0.57
Jrue Holiday	72	71	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.48	-13	12	-25	14.6	13.4	1.19	14.0	15.0	-0.97

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	35	35	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.70	2	-1	3	14.7	14.1	0.57	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Kent Bazemore	54	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.67	-1	2	-3	14.9	13.6	1.37	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Kelly Oubre Jr.	78	80	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-4	9	14.1	14.8	-0.70	14.2	14.4	-0.25
Stephen Curry	78	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	-2	5	14.2	14.7	-0.47	14.5	13.2	1.34
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	4	-7	14.4	13.9	0.51	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Draymond Green	62	62	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.21	5	-4	9	14.0	14.8	-0.79	14.5	13.7	0.83
Jordan Poole	34	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.18	3	-2	5	14.3	14.3	-0.03	15.0	13.8	1.16
Damion Lee	38	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.3	0.05	14.1	14.3	-0.23
James Wiseman	56	55	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.13	-7	8	-15	13.9	14.7	-0.76	13.7	14.9	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.23,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.36,0.55,0.91,1	89.5%
IND 96, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.31,0.45,0.34,0.57,1	88.9%
MIA 65, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	88.6%