inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 102 Excitement3.7 [945] MVPAaron Gordon (DEN): +11.3%
Denver Nuggets 126 Comeback1.5 [786] LVPTrae Young (ATL): -5.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Huerter0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.01-0.07757%0.072-0.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.031061%0.0600.003100%0.01
Skylar Mays0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.02-0.04550%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Tony Snell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.021125%0.0400.002100%0.01
Solomon Hill0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03437%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01950%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nathan Knight0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03162%0.0000.00683%0.00
Bruno Fernando0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Brandon Goodwin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06487%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.011145%-0.0000.0000%0.00
John Collins-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.03948%-0.001-0.03580%0.00
Trae Young-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.040.021470%0.057-0.102100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.02-0.00972%0.1100.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.021262%0.1100.00250%-0.01
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.010.051271%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.011260%0.0900.001100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.01853%0.051-0.021100%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011168%0.084-0.08367%-0.01
Markus Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bol Bol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.103133%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.061125%0.0000.002100%0.00
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04520%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.042150%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031341%0.012-0.04333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.71.824.314.722.42.330.4118.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +30.4%
ATL -4.8%
DEN +21.2%
DEN +0.1%
DEN +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game15.914.814.4109.7134.0111.3
season14.715.0112.8116.0
opponent14.414.5112.3111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.416.316.514.615.9
DEN13.815.016.314.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruno Fernando10100.00-0.500.50-0.031-252613.216.2-3.0012.215.1-2.90
Nathan Knight1415-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-232213.616.3-2.6413.715.0-1.25
Brandon Goodwin1415-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-232213.616.3-2.6413.715.0-1.25
Solomon Hill3132-0.05-0.450.400.16-7-171016.015.80.1315.514.41.03
Onyeka Okongwu2324-0.06-0.440.370.08-5-191416.015.80.1614.714.8-0.11
Skylar Mays2827-0.08-0.420.340.16-8-16816.215.80.4214.215.0-0.79
Danilo Gallinari4443-0.09-0.410.310.14-8-16815.116.6-1.4616.013.82.24
Kevin Huerter4142-0.17-0.330.160.18-12-12016.515.41.1316.213.72.54
John Collins5152-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-12016.115.60.4814.215.5-1.25
Bogdan Bogdanovic4545-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-11-216.415.41.0914.015.5-1.42
Trae Young6667-0.40-0.10-0.290.07-16-8-815.816.0-0.2215.014.20.79
Tony Snell4544-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-8-816.015.80.1914.714.9-0.24
Clint Capela5354-0.540.04-0.570.11-22-2-2016.814.72.0714.714.9-0.24

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic56550.55-0.050.60-0.042041614.415.4-1.0216.215.50.69
Jamal Murray58590.51-0.010.52-0.162312214.415.5-1.1116.814.22.60
Aaron Gordon40410.470.030.45-0.031771013.615.6-2.0216.715.31.39
Will Barton65630.450.050.41-0.071861214.914.50.3915.816.0-0.22
Michael Porter Jr.52520.450.050.40-0.081861214.914.70.1716.315.31.05
JaMychal Green25250.050.45-0.41-0.16717-1016.414.22.2016.315.70.54
Facundo Campazzo54530.030.47-0.43-0.17717-1015.613.62.0215.416.6-1.22
Paul Millsap37370.030.47-0.45-0.15618-1216.813.53.2915.816.0-0.21
Zeke Nnaji14130.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2012.815.1-2.3514.216.2-2.01
Markus Howard10100.000.50-0.500.03-125-2612.215.1-2.9013.216.2-3.00
Vlatko Cancar11110.000.50-0.500.00024-2412.115.1-3.0513.716.2-2.44
Bol Bol11110.000.50-0.500.00024-2412.115.1-3.0513.716.2-2.44
PJ Dozier3735-0.050.55-0.59-0.13321-1815.714.21.5515.815.9-0.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 86, POR 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
ATL 93, GSW 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
DEN 79, NJN 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%