NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	3.3 [1108]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +8.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.6 [886]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -8.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	12	79%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	20	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	10	20%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	14	29%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.02	-0.09	8	75%	0.11	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	59%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	64%	0.06	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	52%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	24.5	15.6	26.3	2.4	22.2	117.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.5%

POR +7.1%

GSW -0.8%

POR +3.2%

POR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.5	90.5	105.3	101.6
season	14.6	16.0		105.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.8	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	15.2	16.2	13.2	14.8
POR	14.0	16.1	17.2	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jiri Welsch	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	9.8	15.1	-5.28	17.7	15.4	2.27
Earl Boykins	37	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-16	18	13.5	15.6	-2.07	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Erick Dampier	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-8	2	15.8	14.1	1.68	15.6	15.5	0.11
Mike Dunleavy	44	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-14	14	14.1	15.4	-1.28	16.1	15.0	1.11
Antawn Jamison	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-8	2	14.6	14.9	-0.29	14.9	16.2	-1.38
Jason Richardson	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.35	14.7	17.8	-3.13
Adonal Foyle	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-6	-2	14.1	15.8	-1.68	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Bob Sura	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	15.1	14.4	0.66	16.9	14.2	2.66
Troy Murphy	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.07	-16	2	-18	15.7	12.9	2.79	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Gilbert Arenas	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	2	-18	15.6	13.5	2.07	15.8	15.1	0.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-6	26	15.6	14.9	0.71	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Dale Davis	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-2	18	16.2	15.0	1.22	16.0	13.7	2.24
Damon Stoudamire	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-2	18	16.2	15.0	1.22	16.0	13.7	2.24
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	1	12	15.2	16.1	-0.88	14.9	14.5	0.45
Bonzi Wells	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	2	10	15.2	16.0	-0.79	16.1	12.9	3.19
Ruben Patterson	48	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	16	-18	15.2	15.9	-0.62	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Zach Randolph	56	57	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	17	-20	15.7	15.3	0.39	13.5	16.7	-3.22
Arvydas Sabonis	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	12	-10	14.9	15.8	-0.88	15.1	14.6	0.52
Jeff McInnis	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	16	-18	15.0	16.2	-1.22	13.7	16.0	-2.24
Qyntel Woods	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	42.0	15.3	26.74	0.0	14.9	-14.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DEN 79, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MEM 87, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%