NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	9.6 [89]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +48.8%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	4.9 [99]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -21.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.4	0.17	0.24	0.02	7	89%	0.40	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	15	64%	0.19	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.07
Deandre Ayton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.05	-0.00	12	72%	0.16	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Dario Saric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	6	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	0.03	-0.12	0.01	21	52%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.13
Mikal Bridges	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	9	28%	-0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.49	0.49	0.08	0.42	0.01	16	64%	0.55	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.15	-0.01	19	66%	0.32	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.09
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.05	0.00	6	121%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.09	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.10	-0.02	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	15	38%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.13	1	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	23.5	16.4	26.2	1.8	31.0	124.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +79.5%

PHX -27.7%

ORL +12.3%

PHX -19.0%

ORL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	14.4	112.1	112.0	111.3
season	14.7	14.9		115.3	103.9
opponent	14.0	14.7		113.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	16.3	11.2	15.0	13.7
ORL	13.7	16.4	16.5	14.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	38	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	2	-5	14.4	13.3	1.06	15.3	15.2	0.06
Cameron Payne	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	9	-19	15.7	12.6	3.09	15.7	15.0	0.74
Torrey Craig	37	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	10	-21	16.4	12.1	4.21	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Mikal Bridges	64	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-10	19	13.3	14.5	-1.28	15.5	14.7	0.82
Dario Saric	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	10	-21	16.0	12.8	3.23	13.2	16.0	-2.84
Langston Galloway	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	7	-15	17.0	12.8	4.16	14.3	15.5	-1.13
Deandre Ayton	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.55	10	-11	21	12.8	16.0	-3.23	16.0	13.2	2.84
Jae Crowder	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.59	10	-11	21	12.0	16.7	-4.77	15.7	14.4	1.21
Devin Booker	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-7	13	12.3	16.8	-4.45	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Chris Paul	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.53	3	-4	7	13.3	14.7	-1.46	14.8	16.1	-1.28

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	46	46	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.15	21	-20	41	14.6	15.7	-1.13	16.4	11.4	4.95
Al-Farouq Aminu	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	1	-1	15.1	15.4	-0.31	14.8	12.1	2.68
Michael Carter-Williams	49	48	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	7	-13	15.3	15.2	0.09	13.6	13.8	-0.14
Aaron Gordon	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	3	-5	15.4	14.6	0.80	13.5	14.3	-0.89
Nikola Vucevic	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.46	-5	6	-11	15.5	14.6	0.89	12.9	15.9	-3.03
Evan Fournier	71	69	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.66	-14	15	-29	15.8	13.9	1.91	12.7	16.1	-3.47
Khem Birch	29	28	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	-5	11	14.6	15.5	-0.89	15.9	12.9	3.03
James Ennis III	56	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-5	11	14.7	15.9	-1.27	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Chuma Okeke	43	41	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	0	1	15.4	15.1	0.31	12.1	14.8	-2.68
Chasson Randle	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	3	-5	15.5	15.2	0.30	12.0	13.8	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.43,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.78,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.15,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.62,0.64,0.76,0.87,1	90.7%
IND 65, DET 69	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.66,0.96,1	89.6%
POR 82, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	89.4%