NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	8.5 [197]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +35.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	5.9 [361]		LVP	Danny Green (PHI): -18.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	80%	0.10	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	15	54%	0.09	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
Immanuel Quickley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	57%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Julius Randle	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	19	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Frank Ntilikina	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.02,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	17	41%	-0.10	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.35	0.35	0.20	0.17	0.02	20	68%	0.35	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	14	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	14	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	12	41%	-0.07	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	10	15%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	33.4	15.4	26.4	2.5	35.2	138.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.5%

PHI +2.0%

PHI +21.3%

PHI +6.6%

NYK -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.8	14.4	100.0	104.2	111.3
season	15.2	14.5		109.2	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.6		106.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	12.7	15.3	17.4	15.3
PHI	14.9	15.0	14.7	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	31	30	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.11	4	-7	11	14.2	15.8	-1.60	15.2	14.7	0.52
Taj Gibson	40	38	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-3	3	14.7	15.7	-1.05	15.3	14.5	0.79
Obi Toppin	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	16.5	15.1	1.39	16.9	14.5	2.45
RJ Barrett	82	81	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-6	9	15.4	15.1	0.28	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Julius Randle	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-4	5	15.1	16.5	-1.39	14.5	16.9	-2.45
Alec Burks	73	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	14.6	17.5	-2.91	15.1	14.1	1.03
Nerlens Noel	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	2	-7	16.2	14.3	1.97	14.7	15.0	-0.38
Immanuel Quickley	50	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	5	-13	16.3	14.3	2.02	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Reggie Bullock	57	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.57	-2	-1	-1	15.5	15.1	0.44	15.0	14.6	0.37

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	45	47	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-3	9	15.1	14.6	0.47	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Seth Curry	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-3	9	14.5	15.5	-0.90	15.6	14.8	0.80
Ben Simmons	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.49	2	1	1	14.3	16.3	-2.07	15.6	14.7	0.94
Tobias Harris	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	2	-1	14.3	16.8	-2.50	15.5	14.5	1.03
Dwight Howard	53	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	-4	11	15.3	14.3	1.04	14.6	16.3	-1.74
Matisse Thybulle	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	9	-15	14.8	14.8	-0.02	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Danny Green	48	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	3	-3	14.2	15.5	-1.37	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Mike Scott	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	1	1	16.8	14.3	2.50	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Tony Bradley	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	4	-5	15.1	14.7	0.38	17.4	14.3	3.09
Shake Milton	35	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.21	-2	5	-7	15.4	14.5	0.93	14.8	15.6	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.53,0.68,0.48,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1	92.0%
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	91.6%
NJN 104, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.15,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.34,0.68,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	91.5%