NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	125		Excitement	2.5 [1097]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +9.0%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	1.0 [592]		LVP	Brandon Goodwin (ATL): -3.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	5	79%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	92%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	11	72%	0.10	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	11	83%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.01	0.08	7	93%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	10	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinndary Weatherspoon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	15	66%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.19	0.00	0.19	10	91%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	11	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	11	37%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.09	8	65%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	26.5	15.2	23.5	2.4	31.3	128.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.8%

SAS +0.6%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +6.8%

ATL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.7	14.4	120.2	107.5	111.3
season	14.6	14.7		109.8	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		111.4	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.0	12.8	13.3	15.6	13.7
ATL	13.1	15.8	14.9	11.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.57	36	-25	61	12.9	14.5	-1.56	15.5	11.9	3.53
Jakob Poeltl	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.54	33	-22	55	13.0	14.8	-1.87	14.3	12.9	1.37
Keldon Johnson	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.32	23	-12	35	13.2	14.4	-1.19	13.6	13.9	-0.27
DeMar DeRozan	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.53	30	-19	49	12.9	14.7	-1.75	14.0	13.3	0.68
Derrick White	36	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.34	23	-12	35	12.8	14.2	-1.36	15.3	12.8	2.47
Rudy Gay	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	10	-9	13.6	13.8	-0.17	15.9	12.5	3.40
Devin Vassell	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	0	11	13.8	13.7	0.10	15.2	13.3	1.94
Patty Mills	42	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.12	8	3	5	13.8	13.6	0.19	14.8	12.9	1.90
Drew Eubanks	42	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.72	-22	33	-55	14.8	13.0	1.87	12.9	14.3	-1.37
Quinndary Weatherspoon	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.59	-20	31	-51	15.8	13.2	2.66	11.9	14.2	-2.27
Lonnie Walker IV	43	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.76	-26	37	-63	14.7	13.1	1.59	11.5	15.3	-3.81
Keita Bates-Diop	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.56	-19	30	-49	15.1	13.4	1.71	8.6	14.9	-6.23
Trey Lyles	21	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.67	-23	34	-57	15.2	13.3	1.84	9.5	14.8	-5.31

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Knight	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.70	24	-35	59	9.4	14.9	-5.46	15.7	13.2	2.54
Bruno Fernando	32	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.62	21	-32	53	11.1	14.8	-3.74	14.6	13.4	1.22
Skylar Mays	36	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.74	25	-36	61	12.6	14.3	-1.74	14.8	13.2	1.63
Danilo Gallinari	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-14	17	15.4	12.9	2.55	14.0	13.6	0.36
Onyeka Okongwu	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.81	26	-37	63	11.6	14.8	-3.16	14.6	13.2	1.36
Tony Snell	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-8	5	14.3	13.4	0.86	13.7	13.7	0.04
Brandon Goodwin	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.78	22	-33	55	12.3	14.4	-2.12	15.0	13.1	1.86
Solomon Hill	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.37	-19	8	-27	15.3	12.5	2.79	13.9	13.6	0.24
Trae Young	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.46	-27	16	-43	14.2	13.2	1.09	12.9	14.5	-1.62
Clint Capela	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.43	-28	17	-45	15.4	12.4	3.01	13.1	14.2	-1.14
John Collins	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.61	-35	24	-59	14.2	13.2	0.95	12.8	14.6	-1.84
Cam Reddish	48	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.49	-31	20	-51	13.7	13.7	0.08	12.7	14.6	-1.94
Kevin Huerter	53	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.54	-33	22	-55	14.9	12.5	2.36	13.1	14.3	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 118, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
HOU 120, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CHI 110, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%