NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	114		Excitement	4.5 [805]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +34.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	130		Comeback	2.1 [629]		LVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): -6.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.32	0.07	0.04	17	89%	0.36	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Caleb Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	15	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.07	4	112%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	11	68%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.26	0.04	0.06	14	90%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	-0.01	-0.04	13	60%	0.09	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	75%	0.09	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.02	0.10	13	77%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	14	47%	0.03	5	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.0	27.7	14.5	27.4	2.3	27.4	128.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +14.5%

CHA -2.6%

MEM +23.8%

MEM +13.8%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	13.5	15.9	14.4	116.3	134.0	111.3
season	14.2	14.0		109.4	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		110.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	11.9	15.5	13.6	13.5
MEM	14.5	15.8	18.0	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Martin	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-15	14	12.7	13.9	-1.17	16.2	15.7	0.51
Cody Zeller	49	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-13	10	13.0	14.0	-1.04	15.4	16.4	-0.93
P.J. Washington	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-17	18	13.8	13.1	0.72	16.3	15.4	0.91
Bismack Biyombo	24	25	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	13.9	13.4	0.50	18.0	15.2	2.85
Gordon Hayward	64	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	-4	-8	13.9	12.7	1.17	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Malik Monk	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	13.3	13.7	-0.45	16.5	15.5	1.01
Terry Rozier	70	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	0	-16	14.0	12.2	1.85	15.5	17.0	-1.50
LaMelo Ball	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	-7	-2	13.2	14.0	-0.78	16.2	15.5	0.64
Miles Bridges	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	7	-30	13.3	13.8	-0.50	15.1	17.5	-2.36

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	1	14	15.5	16.6	-1.12	14.1	12.4	1.72
Ja Morant	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.21	23	-7	30	15.2	17.5	-2.35	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Desmond Bane	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	6	4	14.9	17.1	-2.17	13.6	13.4	0.16
Jonas Valanciunas	60	62	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	6	4	15.6	16.5	-0.86	13.3	13.9	-0.66
Xavier Tillman	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.23	17	-1	18	15.2	16.3	-1.16	12.7	13.9	-1.18
Kyle Anderson	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	15	-14	16.4	15.4	1.02	14.0	13.0	0.98
Gorgui Dieng	37	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	10	-4	16.5	15.6	0.86	13.9	13.3	0.66
John Konchar	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	14	-12	17.9	15.3	2.59	14.0	13.4	0.60
Grayson Allen	61	60	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	15	-14	16.5	15.0	1.52	12.6	14.9	-2.24
Tyus Jones	41	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	21	-26	17.1	15.1	2.03	13.8	13.3	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 74, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 78, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIN 82, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%