NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	121		Excitement	7.2 [380]		MVP	Chris Boucher (TOR): +27.5%
Atlanta Hawks	132		Comeback	2.0 [431]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -17.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.19	0.09	0.00	13	74%	0.30	1	-0.02	13	54%	-0.03
Stanley Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	15	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.04	0.06	18	53%	-0.01	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Aron Baynes	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	16	28%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.08	-0.02	6	93%	0.23	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.05	0.04	9	95%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	13	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	11	73%	0.20	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.02	15	64%	0.21	7	-0.18	14	100%	0.06
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	27.6	15.3	33.6	1.7	33.0	138.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +85.5%

TOR -5.4%

TOR -3.3%

TOR -28.8%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	13.6	14.4	119.8	129.4	111.3
season	14.2	14.7		111.0	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.6		111.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.4	14.5	14.1	17.5	14.8
ATL	13.8	13.2	13.1	14.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Davis	35	35	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.04	1	-12	13	15.5	14.3	1.17	13.6	13.6	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	15	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-8	5	15.9	14.5	1.39	13.6	13.6	-0.08
DeAndre' Bembry	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-7	3	14.7	14.8	-0.06	13.7	13.6	0.15
Chris Boucher	67	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-10	9	15.1	14.1	1.00	13.9	13.1	0.81
Fred VanVleet	82	84	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-10	9	14.5	15.9	-1.47	13.4	14.8	-1.46
Stanley Johnson	20	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	17.5	14.1	3.43	14.0	13.5	0.41
Pascal Siakam	71	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	14.0	16.4	-2.39	13.6	13.6	0.00
Aron Baynes	34	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	14.1	15.1	-1.00	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Norman Powell	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	1	-13	14.3	15.6	-1.27	13.6	13.8	-0.19
Kyle Lowry	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.19	-12	1	-13	14.8	14.6	0.19	13.8	13.0	0.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	1	9	13.8	13.1	0.75	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Trae Young	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	13.4	14.3	-0.87	13.9	17.9	-3.98
Clint Capela	63	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	3	5	13.5	13.8	-0.35	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Cam Reddish	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	3	5	13.2	14.5	-1.35	13.9	16.4	-2.48
Kevin Huerter	77	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	5	1	13.8	13.2	0.57	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Danilo Gallinari	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	2	7	14.6	12.7	1.87	14.9	14.6	0.22
Rajon Rondo	24	22	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	9	-7	14.3	13.4	0.87	17.9	13.9	3.98
Solomon Hill	27	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	6	-1	12.6	14.0	-1.41	15.4	14.6	0.81
Tony Snell	36	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	11	-11	14.1	13.3	0.79	16.4	13.9	2.48
Onyeka Okongwu	16	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	12.1	13.9	-1.86	15.0	14.7	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.98,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	94.5%
PHI 106, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 108, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	94.3%