inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 102 Excitement9.0 [141] MVPAlec Burks (NYK): +40.7%
Chicago Bulls 110 Comeback1.5 [642] LVPRJ Barrett (NYK): -33.4%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.410.100.30-0.001264%0.4100.00475%-0.01
Nerlens Noel0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.060.00667%0.1000.0000%0.00
Immanuel Quickley0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.001353%0.121-0.054100%0.02
Mitchell Robinson0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00664%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Obi Toppin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001100%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Bullock-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01725%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Elfrid Payton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01545%-0.012-0.051100%0.00
Austin Rivers-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.00410%-0.0900.00250%-0.01
Julius Randle-0.110,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.11-0.01-0.090.011656%0.085-0.19989%0.03
RJ Barrett-0.330,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33-0.06-0.250.021741%-0.242-0.0900%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.090.120.01871%0.2100.0010%-0.06
Zach LaVine0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.170.170.090.090.011662%0.191-0.022100%0.00
Coby White0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.10.10-0.050.15-0.001250%0.204-0.102100%0.01
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.011062%0.161-0.0610%-0.02
Lauri Markkanen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.050.050.17-0.100.021879%0.164-0.112100%0.01
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chandler Hutchison00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.020.02845%-0.0400.00667%-0.02
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01521%-0.0800.00475%-0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.040.02833%-0.1000.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.427.214.528.42.330.6132.7
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +46.5%
NYK -18.0%
CHI +9.4%
CHI +7.3%
CHI +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKCHINBANYKCHINBA
this game14.614.614.4103.0112.2111.3
season15.214.5109.2109.9
opponent14.314.6111.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK14.116.014.314.014.6
CHI13.613.314.517.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Obi Toppin1818-0.04-0.460.43-0.071-91016.414.22.1814.414.7-0.30
Austin Rivers3232-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-7615.414.21.2314.114.9-0.80
Mitchell Robinson4142-0.07-0.430.37-0.122-101214.814.50.3414.115.0-0.90
Reggie Bullock4546-0.14-0.360.21-0.11-1-7614.614.6-0.0514.314.9-0.54
Elfrid Payton3737-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-5-3-214.614.6-0.0214.414.8-0.37
Alec Burks5857-0.24-0.260.01-0.16-3-5214.514.7-0.2115.014.10.88
Immanuel Quickley6261-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.22-3-5214.614.60.0214.814.40.37
Nerlens Noel5856-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.14-102-1214.514.8-0.3415.014.10.90
Julius Randle8180-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.20-91-1014.216.4-2.1814.714.40.30
RJ Barrett6361-0.560.06-0.62-0.24-113-1414.315.2-0.8814.814.40.41

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lauri Markkanen69700.63-0.130.760.1616-82414.415.1-0.6214.515.0-0.51
Coby White75780.59-0.090.690.2113-51814.515.1-0.6514.714.40.29
Garrett Temple50510.58-0.080.660.1714-62014.015.3-1.3314.914.30.57
Zach LaVine67650.360.140.210.39-19-1015.113.61.4914.015.7-1.72
Thaddeus Young63660.330.170.160.1662415.014.01.0313.417.1-3.73
Daniel Gafford43420.160.34-0.180.1317-614.714.50.2016.313.33.00
Patrick Williams57560.110.39-0.280.14-19-1015.613.32.3014.315.0-0.66
Otto Porter Jr.38390.000.50-0.50-0.0626-413.915.1-1.2515.214.20.95
Denzel Valentine56-0.040.54-0.570.02-210-1213.614.7-1.0917.814.43.44
Chandler Hutchison11-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-210-123.014.8-11.7511.014.6-3.64
Tomas Satoransky2221-0.160.66-0.820.02-614-2014.114.8-0.7015.414.41.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.69,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 105, SAC 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,193.0%
CHI 87, ATL 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,193.0%
MIA 101, WAS 1050.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,192.5%