NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	6.8 [428]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +28.2%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	2.9 [552]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): -18.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.27,0.28	0.07	0.20	-0.01	12	60%	0.32	2	-0.04	11	82%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.00	9	86%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	14	74%	0.31	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.01	10	70%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	13	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	17	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	73%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	15	61%	0.28	7	-0.19	11	91%	0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.6	29.7	14.7	24.6	2.5	39.2	137.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.3%

LAL +3.9%

ATL -9.4%

LAL +16.9%

LAL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	14.4	111.5	104.2	111.3
season	14.6	14.7		108.6	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	16.3	14.2	16.9	15.6
ATL	14.0	15.0	15.8	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	49	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	14.9	16.3	-1.36	14.7	14.5	0.17
LeBron James	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-2	12	15.7	14.9	0.83	14.2	16.4	-2.22
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-3	14	15.6	15.5	0.05	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Dennis Schroder	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	2	4	15.7	15.4	0.34	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Kyle Kuzma	39	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.25	-1	9	-10	15.4	15.6	-0.21	16.2	13.6	2.54
Marc Gasol	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	3	2	15.2	15.7	-0.50	13.6	15.2	-1.54
Montrezl Harrell	55	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	11	-14	16.0	15.0	1.07	15.8	13.1	2.72
Anthony Davis	72	71	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	6	-4	15.8	14.8	0.97	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Talen Horton-Tucker	38	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	11	-14	15.2	15.8	-0.67	16.2	13.6	2.58

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	70	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-10	12	14.4	15.2	-0.77	15.7	15.2	0.44
Solomon Hill	41	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-5	2	16.0	13.5	2.52	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Trae Young	76	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-6	4	14.7	14.3	0.41	15.3	16.9	-1.63
Clint Capela	61	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-9	10	13.7	16.2	-2.52	16.6	13.9	2.63
Danilo Gallinari	36	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	0	-8	15.4	14.1	1.38	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Rajon Rondo	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	15.5	14.2	1.34	14.4	16.1	-1.64
Cam Reddish	61	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	13.2	17.0	-3.75	15.9	15.0	0.93
Bruno Fernando	23	24	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	16.3	14.1	2.21	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Kevin Huerter	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-3	-2	14.5	15.2	-0.71	16.2	12.9	3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 109, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.31,0.38,0.24,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0	91.7%
NJN 112, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	91.6%
SAS 85, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0,0	91.6%