NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	7.3 [364]		MVP	Eric Paschall (GSW): +19.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	18.4 [30]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -36.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Paschall	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.01	11	73%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.13	-0.01	0.11	-0.03	22	51%	0.23	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.06
Draymond Green	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.13	-0.02	6	58%	0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	11	72%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Kevon Looney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	18	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	8	81%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	15	64%	0.15	3	-0.07	9	89%	-0.03
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.36	-0.36	-0.08	-0.33	-0.05	16	47%	-0.11	5	-0.26	8	62%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	27.7	15.8	35.2	2.8	36.0	148.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +51.2%

GSW +0.7%

LAL -32.0%

GSW +28.8%

GSW +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	12.7	15.4	14.4	112.7	109.7	111.3
season	13.5	14.6		109.9	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		106.7	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	13.1	12.6	13.5	12.7
LAL	15.3	16.3	13.6	16.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	43	42	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.54	12	-10	22	13.2	12.4	0.80	14.3	16.1	-1.85
Kelly Oubre Jr.	77	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-3	8	13.0	12.0	1.01	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Draymond Green	67	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.72	-8	10	-18	11.8	14.6	-2.81	15.5	15.1	0.40
Andrew Wiggins	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.71	-8	10	-18	11.7	15.1	-3.45	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Stephen Curry	79	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	5	-8	11.8	15.8	-3.95	14.9	16.8	-1.83
Jordan Poole	10	10	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	-8	18	17.7	12.2	5.52	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Kent Bazemore	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	0	2	14.0	12.3	1.69	18.0	14.6	3.44
Brad Wanamaker	34	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.18	8	-6	14	14.4	11.9	2.44	17.2	14.5	2.61
Damion Lee	35	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.34	10	-8	18	14.3	11.9	2.42	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Eric Paschall	39	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.25	1	1	0	14.1	11.9	2.27	15.9	15.0	0.95
James Wiseman	30	31	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.17	-19	21	-40	10.2	13.8	-3.63	14.6	15.7	-1.07

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	42	40	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.07	6	-8	14	15.5	15.2	0.28	13.2	12.4	0.82
Montrezl Harrell	56	55	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-3	4	16.1	14.4	1.68	14.0	11.3	2.69
Marc Gasol	38	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-7	12	14.9	15.6	-0.69	11.2	13.6	-2.37
Wesley Matthews	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.22	-6	4	-10	16.8	14.8	2.00	14.8	11.9	2.89
Markieff Morris	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.18	-12	10	-22	14.5	15.5	-0.91	16.3	12.3	3.98
Anthony Davis	81	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.65	12	-14	26	15.3	15.4	-0.06	11.9	16.0	-4.12
Dennis Schroder	74	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.75	7	-9	16	15.3	15.5	-0.22	11.7	15.2	-3.51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	52	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.59	-1	-1	0	14.7	16.1	-1.42	11.6	13.9	-2.23
Kyle Kuzma	51	53	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	11	-24	15.2	15.6	-0.40	13.8	11.6	2.22
LeBron James	81	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.44	-9	7	-16	15.2	16.0	-0.76	12.9	12.1	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.55,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	89.7%
MIN 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	89.0%
UTA 116, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	88.9%