NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	9.5 [97]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +37.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	2.3 [598]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (DAL): -17.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.01	9	65%	0.21	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	17	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Luka Doncic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	24	51%	0.08	3	-0.04	7	43%	-0.06
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrell Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.00	12	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	19	37%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.35,0.37	0.37	0.09	0.30	0.01	20	56%	0.40	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.14	0.02	21	60%	0.28	5	-0.10	10	10%	-0.18
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	4	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	15	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	12	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	29.4	14.7	28.5	2.7	34.8	139.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +29.7%

MIL +6.2%

MIL +19.1%

DAL -3.8%

DAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	14.4	109.0	113.1	111.3
season	15.0	13.5		114.3	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.3	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	15.5	15.2	13.2	14.4
MIL	11.7	15.1	15.4	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrell Terry	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-4	5	15.4	14.2	1.16	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Boban Marjanovic	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-3	3	14.4	14.4	0.09	11.8	14.9	-3.09
Josh Green	40	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	13.6	14.9	-1.31	14.9	14.4	0.53
James Johnson	60	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-14	25	13.7	15.3	-1.57	15.6	13.1	2.49
Wes Iwundu	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	5	-13	14.2	14.5	-0.31	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Willie Cauley-Stein	64	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	0	-3	14.8	13.6	1.21	14.7	14.4	0.22
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-6	9	14.9	12.8	2.10	15.0	13.5	1.48
Luka Doncic	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.48	14.4	15.2	-0.87
Trey Burke	59	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	6	-15	14.0	14.9	-0.84	14.8	14.3	0.42

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	58	57	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-6	15	14.1	15.3	-1.21	14.5	14.2	0.35
Brook Lopez	69	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-7	17	14.1	15.8	-1.69	14.5	13.9	0.60
Jrue Holiday	72	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	2	-1	14.2	15.5	-1.23	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Giannis Antetokounmpo	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	2	-1	14.6	14.6	-0.04	14.6	13.9	0.70
Khris Middleton	75	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	14.4	15.1	-0.66	14.7	13.3	1.43
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	11.8	14.9	-3.09	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Bryn Forbes	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	4	-5	15.8	14.1	1.67	14.4	14.4	-0.00
Bobby Portis	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	9	-15	14.6	14.6	0.08	14.5	14.3	0.28
Pat Connaughton	41	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.14	1	2	-1	16.5	13.3	3.20	13.8	14.8	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.69,0.55,0.64,0.75,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.75,0.46,0.69,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.84,1	91.8%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	91.7%
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	91.7%