NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	121		Excitement	8.5 [211]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +72.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	124		Comeback	5.5 [274]		LVP	Matisse Thybulle (PHI): -11.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.17	0.01	14	65%	0.28	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Josh Richardson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.01	20	81%	0.37	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	83%	0.17	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norvel Pelle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	19	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	6	15%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	3	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.74,0.73,0.72	0.72	0.27	0.42	-0.03	28	71%	0.89	6	-0.16	16	94%	0.08
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.11	-0.03	13	62%	0.23	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	9	65%	0.17	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	17	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.7	29.0	14.8	29.3	3.3	36.7	146.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.1%

POR +28.8%

PHI -26.2%

POR +17.9%

POR +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	14.2	117.5	121.6	109.6
season	14.8	14.4		110.0	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.1		113.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	13.4	13.5	14.1	14.5
POR	11.4	13.7	14.2	15.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	36	34	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-8	13	14.1	14.7	-0.57	13.6	13.6	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	40	40	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-5	7	13.6	15.0	-1.32	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Kyle O'Quinn	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-6	9	15.8	14.3	1.52	14.6	13.5	1.12
Norvel Pelle	16	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.54	12.6	13.9	-1.25
Joel Embiid	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	3	-9	17.6	14.0	3.54	12.0	13.9	-1.86
Shake Milton	52	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	15.5	13.4	2.07	13.3	14.0	-0.66
Furkan Korkmaz	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	2	-7	13.5	14.9	-1.40	11.4	14.5	-3.15
Matisse Thybulle	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	14.1	15.4	-1.29	14.0	12.7	1.38
Alec Burks	51	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-4	5	13.4	15.5	-2.07	14.0	13.3	0.66
Josh Richardson	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.46	1	-4	5	14.5	14.3	0.21	14.0	12.4	1.65
Tobias Harris	68	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	4	-11	15.0	13.4	1.64	14.1	12.8	1.27
Al Horford	48	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	4	-11	14.8	14.2	0.63	13.9	13.4	0.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	78	81	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-11	25	13.1	15.5	-2.38	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Jusuf Nurkic	61	65	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.54	4	-1	5	14.6	12.2	2.41	13.9	15.5	-1.61
CJ McCollum	81	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-1	5	14.1	11.7	2.42	14.7	13.3	1.43
Damian Lillard	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	13.3	15.1	-1.78	14.6	13.9	0.62
Gary Trent Jr.	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	6	-9	13.7	13.5	0.19	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Anfernee Simons	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	4	-5	9.0	13.8	-4.83	16.5	14.4	2.13
Wenyen Gabriel	27	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	12.7	14.0	-1.32	15.4	14.2	1.19
Zach Collins	47	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.10	-1	4	-5	13.4	13.8	-0.43	15.7	13.5	2.19
Mario Hezonja	55	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.12	-6	9	-15	14.0	13.2	0.83	14.2	14.7	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.7,0.78,0.92,1	93.1%
SAS 105, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.45,0.68,0.96,1	91.0%
LAC 88, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.76,0.95,1	90.9%