inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 107 Excitement8.3 [239] MVPFred VanVleet (TOR): +37.1%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback2.0 [567] LVPJimmy Butler (MIA): -16.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred VanVleet0.370,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.370.230.13-0.011680%0.504-0.1313100%0.08
Pascal Siakam0.130,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.130.110.070.041469%0.182-0.054100%0.04
Serge Ibaka0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.06-0.001262%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.02-0.010.03-0.01856%0.124-0.109100%0.08
Matt Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
OG Anunoby-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01544%-0.0100.00667%-0.01
Marc Gasol-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01275%0.043-0.06475%-0.04
Terence Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.0000%0.002-0.0800%0.00
Norman Powell-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.07-0.00939%-0.032-0.1000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.040.001363%0.201-0.071100%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.10.100.050.04-0.001457%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.080.080.100.010.021476%0.395-0.31580%-0.09
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001155%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.01956%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kendrick Nunn0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.01712%-0.121-0.042100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17-0.170.02-0.19-0.00962%-0.003-0.178100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.829.314.836.52.841.8152.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +8.9%
TOR +28.8%
MIA -2.4%
TOR +8.3%
TOR +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game14.314.514.2108.1102.0109.6
season14.014.7109.9111.7
opponent14.514.5108.9104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.412.814.116.014.3
MIA14.415.413.115.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam74750.84-0.341.190.4314-102414.114.7-0.6014.813.71.17
Marc Gasol48490.68-0.180.850.3511-71812.615.8-3.2014.714.30.37
Kyle Lowry73760.66-0.160.820.3710-61613.815.7-1.8714.614.40.17
OG Anunoby70720.460.040.420.4604-413.217.0-3.8114.614.30.35
Fred VanVleet87880.460.040.410.4313-214.313.90.4114.911.92.99
Matt Thomas220.000.50-0.50-0.0313-221.014.16.876.014.7-8.70
Terence Davis910-0.000.50-0.50-0.0313-213.814.3-0.5411.914.8-2.91
Norman Powell5758-0.150.65-0.81-0.01-59-1415.512.53.0014.814.20.63
Serge Ibaka5152-0.180.68-0.850.03-711-1815.812.63.2014.314.7-0.37
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson2423-0.270.77-1.04-0.09-610-1615.913.72.1712.815.0-2.20

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goran Dragic61610.28-0.781.06-0.1615-193413.216.5-3.2314.114.5-0.33
Derrick Jones Jr.10-0.06-0.440.370.08-51-61.014.7-13.660.014.3-14.27
Duncan Robinson4947-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-3215.313.81.4413.515.0-1.49
Bam Adebayo6764-0.14-0.360.22-0.202-6814.714.20.4414.513.90.51
Andre Iguodala4038-0.14-0.360.220.06-73-1014.614.50.0815.013.81.22
Kelly Olynyk6364-0.14-0.360.22-0.4310-142414.514.6-0.0414.713.41.31
Tyler Herro5052-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.413-71014.214.8-0.6015.013.51.49
Jimmy Butler7370-0.550.05-0.59-0.34-73-1013.716.7-3.0813.516.2-2.69
Jae Crowder6968-0.640.14-0.79-0.23-1410-2415.213.12.1414.513.80.63
Kendrick Nunn3231-0.660.16-0.82-0.19-1612-2816.913.43.4413.614.6-0.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.03,0.04,093.6%
PHX 89, UTA 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.23,0.15,091.9%
HOU 91, MIL 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,091.4%