NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	115		Excitement	7.9 [297]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +26.3%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	7.3 [97]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -28.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.26	0.15	0.10	-0.01	20	68%	0.42	6	-0.16	19	95%	0.09
Seth Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	70%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	8	31%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	5	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antonius Cleveland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0	0.14	-0.14	0.01	20	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Maxi Kleber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.17	-0.11	-0.00	12	8%	-0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	11	76%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	20	60%	0.26	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.05
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	8	72%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.3	37.6	15.3	28.6	3.4	40.3	155.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.6%

PHX +2.4%

DAL -5.5%

DAL -11.8%

PHX +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	13.3	14.2	108.5	111.4	109.6
season	14.5	14.1		115.2	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.1		110.2	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.1	12.9	16.2	14.0	14.0
PHX	12.6	11.9	12.6	16.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonius Cleveland	9	9	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-8	14	10.2	14.3	-4.12	8.8	13.7	-4.95
Boban Marjanovic	15	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	13.1	14.1	-1.08	11.7	13.6	-1.91
Maxi Kleber	51	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-7	12	13.4	14.5	-1.15	12.5	14.0	-1.54
Luka Doncic	85	87	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-5	8	13.8	14.6	-0.78	13.1	14.1	-0.91
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-2	2	14.2	13.7	0.48	13.8	12.3	1.52
Delon Wright	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	6	-14	14.5	13.5	1.00	12.5	14.2	-1.63
Seth Curry	75	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-1	0	14.4	12.9	1.54	13.9	12.0	1.88
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-2	2	14.3	13.6	0.73	14.4	11.8	2.60
Trey Burke	26	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	9	-20	13.8	14.1	-0.29	13.2	13.4	-0.20
Kristaps Porzingis	81	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	2	-6	14.1	13.7	0.35	13.6	12.4	1.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-9	20	12.4	14.4	-1.93	13.8	14.2	-0.32
Mikal Bridges	83	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	13.5	12.6	0.90	14.4	12.3	2.07
Cameron Johnson	87	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	13.6	11.8	1.84	14.1	13.6	0.42
Frank Kaminsky	23	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-2	6	12.0	13.7	-1.67	13.0	14.2	-1.25
Dario Saric	50	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	6	-10	12.3	14.2	-1.96	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Devin Booker	69	70	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	10	-18	13.6	12.8	0.76	13.6	14.7	-1.02
Cameron Payne	45	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	9	-16	12.8	13.7	-0.88	14.1	13.9	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.61,0.93,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.64,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	91.7%
BOS 99, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.89,1,1,1,1	91.3%
WAS 97, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,1,1,1	91.3%