NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	5.6 [716]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +48.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	5.3 [790]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -4.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	11	67%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	12	69%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.02	0.02	14	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	19	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Smart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	9	35%	0.04	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.29	0.24	0.04	22	79%	0.56	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	27	59%	0.28	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
JR Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	29.2	17.3	31.8	2.8	28.3	138.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +66.4%

BOS -11.0%

BOS -0.2%

BOS -1.8%

BOS -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	14.8	107.6	121.7	107.7
season	14.7	14.9		110.1	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.9		109.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	17.8	15.1	17.8	16.2
CLE	14.8	13.5	13.1	20.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-11	9	15.0	17.6	-2.61	15.3	14.9	0.34
Marcus Smart	75	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-12	11	15.9	17.3	-1.36	15.6	12.9	2.74
Tyler Zeller	5	5	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-8	3	14.0	16.3	-2.31	12.4	15.3	-2.88
Jonas Jerebko	40	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-4	-5	17.5	15.2	2.28	13.4	16.3	-2.94
Jaylen Brown	38	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-9	5	17.4	15.4	2.02	13.8	16.2	-2.38
Terry Rozier	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-7	1	17.9	15.3	2.59	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Al Horford	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.9	12.5	3.44
Avery Bradley	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	0	-13	15.6	18.5	-2.95	15.7	12.6	3.11
Jae Crowder	78	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	3	-19	16.0	17.1	-1.13	15.6	12.9	2.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-1	15	15.3	14.5	0.79	15.2	19.8	-4.62
Kyrie Irving	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	4	5	15.0	15.7	-0.67	15.8	18.5	-2.65
LeBron James	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	6	1	15.3	14.2	1.12	16.3	15.8	0.51
Kyle Korver	34	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	1	11	16.8	14.1	2.66	17.5	15.3	2.21
Kevin Love	79	79	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	6	1	15.5	12.5	3.01	16.6	13.7	2.90
Deron Williams	36	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	3	7	14.5	15.5	-0.97	17.3	15.5	1.78
Richard Jefferson	13	13	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	7	-1	12.5	15.5	-3.01	13.7	16.6	-2.90
JR Smith	54	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	10	-7	14.2	16.4	-2.26	15.3	17.3	-1.99
Iman Shumpert	19	19	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	16	-19	14.8	15.2	-0.42	18.9	15.5	3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.89,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	94.5%
NJN 68, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
BKN 89, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%