NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	120		Excitement	8.6 [201]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +28.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	115		Comeback	7.3 [144]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -17.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.25,0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	19	59%	0.39	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Michael Carter-Williams	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.10	-0.02	9	83%	0.31	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.01	15	63%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Clark	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.16	0.01	10	82%	0.40	5	-0.13	13	69%	-0.07
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	79%	0.19	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.02	16	60%	0.05	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	16	52%	0.01	5	-0.19	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	27.7	14.7	29.3	2.0	39.5	140.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +45.4%

MEM -7.1%

MEM -8.3%

ORL +20.1%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MEM	NBA	ORL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	14.2	117.6	110.6	109.6
season	14.7	13.8		107.1	108.2
opponent	13.9	14.2		109.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	13.8	14.2	14.6	14.3
MEM	13.8	13.3	14.0	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	50	51	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-5	15	14.5	14.0	0.56	14.4	13.1	1.30
D.J. Augustin	49	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-4	13	14.3	14.2	0.18	13.6	13.8	-0.23
Terrence Ross	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-2	9	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.4	12.5	1.92
Mo Bamba	24	25	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-6	17	15.0	14.0	0.92	15.2	13.2	2.01
James Ennis III	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	0	5	14.6	13.9	0.75	12.3	15.1	-2.82
Markelle Fultz	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.5	-0.28	13.5	14.2	-0.78
Nikola Vucevic	78	79	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.32	-6	11	-17	14.0	15.0	-0.92	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Wes Iwundu	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	1	3	13.9	14.5	-0.57	13.7	13.7	0.03
Aaron Gordon	66	70	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	16	-27	14.0	14.6	-0.59	14.2	12.6	1.58
Gary Clark	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	4	-3	14.5	14.2	0.34	12.7	14.0	-1.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	76	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-16	27	14.2	12.2	2.00	14.6	13.5	1.09
De'Anthony Melton	58	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-5	5	13.9	13.5	0.42	14.4	14.0	0.39
Josh Jackson	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-7	9	13.5	13.9	-0.43	14.3	14.3	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	14.6	13.2	1.33	14.5	14.1	0.41
Ja Morant	76	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-9	13	14.3	12.0	2.29	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Gorgui Dieng	35	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	5	-15	12.6	14.3	-1.63	13.4	14.7	-1.23
John Konchar	17	17	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	8	-21	18.4	12.8	5.55	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Dillon Brooks	75	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	12.9	15.8	-2.84	14.5	13.6	0.98
Tyus Jones	46	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	12.0	15.1	-3.15	14.5	14.0	0.50
Kyle Anderson	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	3	-11	13.4	14.2	-0.79	14.2	14.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	92.4%
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.17,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	92.2%
TOR 108, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	92.0%