NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	9.6 [116]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +33.3%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	6.4 [149]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (DAL): -46.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.13	0.00	6	117%	0.34	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.05	0.00	9	73%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.35,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	18	39%	0.16	3	-0.23	5	80%	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.15	-0.00	21	68%	0.38	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	4	92%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.05	0.00	26	58%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	4	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	9	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.46	-0.46	-0.22	-0.26	-0.02	17	24%	-0.20	4	-0.26	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	31.2	15.4	25.6	2.5	29.4	131.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +66.8%

DAL -0.3%

DAL -16.1%

IND +1.3%

DAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	13.1	14.9	14.2	110.9	104.8	109.6
season	14.4	14.5		108.7	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.4		111.3	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	12.0	14.0	13.5	13.1
DAL	15.2	15.6	12.2	17.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	68	71	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.51	15	-12	27	13.1	13.2	-0.00	15.6	13.5	2.11
Victor Oladipo	57	58	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.55	8	-5	13	12.9	13.4	-0.50	15.7	13.9	1.85
Aaron Holiday	67	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-7	17	13.3	12.9	0.40	15.3	14.2	1.09
Domantas Sabonis	87	89	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	0	3	13.2	12.9	0.26	15.2	13.5	1.62
Justin Holiday	48	48	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.50	-6	9	-15	12.8	13.5	-0.72	15.0	14.9	0.10
Goga Bitadze	5	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	4	-5	12.0	13.2	-1.21	12.5	15.0	-2.52
JaKarr Sampson	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	8	-13	12.6	13.4	-0.83	14.3	15.2	-0.83
T.J. Warren	67	72	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.25	3	0	3	14.0	11.6	2.40	14.4	16.0	-1.56
T.J. McConnell	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	8	-13	12.9	13.3	-0.40	14.6	15.1	-0.45
Edmond Sumner	42	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	10	-17	13.1	13.2	-0.13	13.3	16.1	-2.80

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	42	41	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.10	7	-10	17	13.8	15.7	-1.83	13.7	12.7	0.98
J.J. Barea	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-4	5	17.0	14.7	2.25	12.7	13.2	-0.43
Boban Marjanovic	14	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-2	1	15.1	14.9	0.25	12.2	13.3	-1.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	21	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	15.0	14.9	0.04	12.0	13.5	-1.53
Courtney Lee	67	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-2	1	14.7	15.4	-0.66	13.6	12.3	1.35
Luka Doncic	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-5	7	15.1	14.5	0.56	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Delon Wright	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	8	-19	15.2	14.7	0.50	12.7	13.6	-0.85
Tim Hardaway Jr.	83	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	15.0	14.8	0.20	13.1	13.4	-0.38
Kristaps Porzingis	82	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	1	-5	15.2	13.9	1.34	13.4	12.4	0.92
Maxi Kleber	74	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.44	13.3	12.9	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	93.1%
SAC 93, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.84,0	92.2%
GSW 95, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	91.7%