inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement9.4 [129] MVPDevonte' Graham (CHA): +36.9%
Charlotte Hornets 112 Comeback5.3 [464] LVPMiles Bridges (CHA): -8.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.320,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.320.050.25-0.011456%0.361-0.044100%0.03
Will Barton0.280,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.280.100.200.011073%0.301-0.012100%0.09
Jerami Grant0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.20.040.15-0.02955%0.221-0.02250%-0.04
Gary Harris0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.180.050.140.011154%0.1800.00475%0.01
Monte Morris0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.00883%0.162-0.052100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,0,0.11,0.11-0.070.17-0.001058%0.296-0.194100%0.05
Torrey Craig0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.02-0.00675%0.0900.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.021050%0.001-0.022100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devonte' Graham0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.370.370.110.26-0.001569%0.453-0.085100%0.10
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.150.150.060.110.011556%0.181-0.02683%0.06
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.040.001164%0.1200.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.00380%0.151-0.04475%0.00
Jalen McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00564%0.0700.001100%0.01
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.060.060.11-0.040.011368%0.081-0.022100%0.02
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,-0.05,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.030.00650%0.121-0.15875%-0.11
Cody Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.001100%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Miles Bridges0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.00844%-0.023-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.00.332.414.626.42.537.3136.5
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +58.4%
CHA -6.4%
CHA -13.1%
DEN +11.0%
DEN +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game15.914.914.2121.3120.4109.6
season15.015.1112.0105.4
opponent14.714.5112.4110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.213.516.316.415.9
CHA14.716.513.714.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton65650.80-0.301.090.4711-92016.015.60.3315.414.01.40
Gary Harris67670.68-0.180.860.593-1415.317.2-1.9215.014.80.19
Jerami Grant54540.53-0.030.570.395-3816.115.50.6514.615.4-0.80
Nikola Jokic57590.490.010.480.4320215.716.0-0.2915.314.31.03
Monte Morris48480.110.39-0.29-0.138-61415.716.0-0.3815.414.40.97
Jamal Murray68680.110.39-0.290.34-810-1816.414.42.0314.516.2-1.77
Mason Plumlee37340.010.49-0.480.0102-216.015.70.2914.315.3-1.03
Paul Millsap4039-0.030.53-0.570.05-35-815.516.1-0.6515.414.60.80
Torrey Craig3431-0.190.69-0.880.04-810-1815.915.80.0514.315.3-1.03

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Bridges56560.62-1.121.740.0320-224214.415.8-1.4815.616.2-0.65
Willy Hernangomez46460.16-0.660.810.131-3414.815.1-0.2415.316.4-1.11
Jalen McDaniels3435-0.19-0.310.110.10-108-1815.814.51.3415.915.80.01
Terry Rozier6668-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.445-71215.214.30.8615.416.9-1.48
Caleb Martin2728-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-86-1415.014.90.0215.416.0-0.60
Devonte' Graham6667-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.605-71214.615.9-1.3316.414.41.97
P.J. Washington5961-0.670.17-0.84-0.50-64-1015.214.50.7516.414.81.64
Cody Zeller4646-0.740.24-0.98-0.60-53-815.214.70.4516.815.01.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 82, LAC 740.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,090.1%
NOP 101, OKC 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.16,090.0%
CLE 104, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.32,0.16,090.0%