NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	9.1 [105]		MVP	Andre Miller (CLE): +16.3%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	13.8 [59]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -38.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	9	90%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	-0.00	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	13	57%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	72%	0.29	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.02	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.04
Trajan Langdon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.27,-0.32,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.37,-0.39	-0.22	-0.18	-0.01	14	25%	-0.20	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	5	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	8	22%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	6	50%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.01	16	56%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.02	17	59%	0.16	7	-0.32	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.19	0.02	11	64%	-0.14	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	24.3	16.5	24.3	1.7	48.0	139.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +99.9%

ORL -33.5%

ORL -12.6%

CLE +1.3%

ORL -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	12.8	14.2	15.2	98.1	92.5	101.7
season	14.1	13.6		98.0	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		99.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.0	12.6	14.4	12.4	12.8
ORL	13.2	15.1	14.4	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	53	53	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.36	24	-19	43	12.4	13.2	-0.87	14.5	14.0	0.53
Danny Ferry	71	71	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.29	24	-19	43	12.6	13.2	-0.58	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Andre Miller	46	46	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.21	21	-16	37	12.7	12.9	-0.13	15.1	13.6	1.55
Shawn Kemp	80	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	7	-9	12.9	12.4	0.57	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Bob Sura	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.50	-9	14	-23	12.9	12.7	0.12	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Mark Bryant	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	2	1	11.1	13.2	-2.05	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Wesley Person	47	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.15	1	4	-3	12.8	12.8	-0.08	14.6	13.9	0.70
Andrew DeClercq	53	53	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	14	-23	13.8	11.9	1.89	14.8	13.7	1.09
Brevin Knight	61	63	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	18	-31	12.7	13.0	-0.29	13.3	15.5	-2.17
Cedric Henderson	33	34	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.07	-15	20	-35	13.3	12.6	0.71	14.1	14.3	-0.24

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	48	48	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.02	13	-18	31	15.0	13.6	1.41	13.5	12.2	1.33
Matt Harpring	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	12.5	14.8	-2.28	12.5	12.9	-0.41
John Amaechi	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	15.0	13.9	1.05	12.7	12.8	-0.09
Chris Gatling	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-7	9	14.1	14.3	-0.16	12.6	13.0	-0.32
Michael Doleac	46	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-6	7	14.0	14.4	-0.36	13.0	12.7	0.33
Corey Maggette	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	5	-15	15.3	14.0	1.32	11.6	13.1	-1.43
Chucky Atkins	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	7	-19	12.8	15.2	-2.37	10.8	14.1	-3.31
Monty Williams	48	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	2	-9	14.2	14.2	-0.03	12.5	13.0	-0.55
Bo Outlaw	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-5	5	14.7	13.5	1.19	13.3	12.2	1.10
Pat Garrity	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	6	-17	12.9	14.7	-1.75	11.7	13.2	-1.54
Darrell Armstrong	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.55	4	-9	13	14.7	13.4	1.24	13.7	11.3	2.46
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-7	9	14.4	13.9	0.51	13.3	11.8	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, LAC 74	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,0	91.7%
NOP 101, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	90.6%
DAL 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.27,0	90.1%