NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Excitement	7.1 [431]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (OKC): +28.8%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	1.6 [748]		LVP	Chris Paul (OKC): -22.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29	0.09	0.18	-0.02	15	58%	0.29	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.04	15	87%	0.26	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.19	0.11	0.08	0.01	14	66%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Nerlens Noel	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	5	62%	0.08	5	-0.10	3	0%	-0.03
Chris Paul	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23	-0.01	-0.20	0.01	10	76%	0.04	6	-0.27	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	16	91%	0.33	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.11	0.06	15	56%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
John Henson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Khyri Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	5	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.12	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.16	0.01	11	56%	-0.08	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.5	14.8	27.9	0.2	33.1	130.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +57.5%

OKC +5.2%

DET -20.5%

OKC +2.3%

OKC +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DET	NBA	OKC	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	15.7	14.2	118.8	110.3	109.6
season	14.3	15.1		108.8	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.0	14.6	14.0	14.8	14.1
DET	15.8	14.8	15.3	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	68	70	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	13.8	14.9	-1.08	16.3	14.3	2.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-5	17	14.5	13.1	1.39	16.1	14.9	1.21
Steven Adams	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	5	-3	13.5	15.2	-1.64	15.8	15.7	0.08
Danilo Gallinari	66	65	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	14.7	12.7	1.98	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Dennis Schroder	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	14.4	13.5	0.95	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Luguentz Dort	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	5	-3	14.2	14.0	0.17	14.9	16.7	-1.73
Abdel Nader	30	32	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	9	-11	12.7	14.7	-1.98	15.9	15.7	0.24
Terrance Ferguson	40	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	11	-15	13.3	14.7	-1.36	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Nerlens Noel	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	2	3	15.2	13.5	1.64	15.7	15.8	-0.08

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khyri Thomas	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-5	3	14.7	16.0	-1.32	14.3	14.1	0.23
Sekou Doumbouya	28	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	14.2	16.3	-2.10	13.9	14.2	-0.23
Thon Maker	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	14.2	16.3	-2.12	15.1	13.7	1.39
Jordan McRae	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-12	17	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.2	12.9	2.23
Svi Mykhailiuk	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	6	-19	15.4	16.1	-0.79	12.8	15.4	-2.65
John Henson	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	15.8	15.7	0.07	13.6	14.5	-0.89
Langston Galloway	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	15.9	15.5	0.47	14.7	13.3	1.48
Tony Snell	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	16.3	14.7	1.55	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Christian Wood	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.4	13.3	3.01	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Brandon Knight	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	16.1	14.5	1.56	14.0	14.4	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.28,0.62,0.36,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	91.5%
SAS 126, IND 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.28,0	91.5%
BKN 100, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.2%