inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 129 Excitement10.1 [77] MVPJordan McLaughlin (MIN): +41.3%
Miami Heat 126 Comeback111.4 [4] LVPJae Crowder (MIA): -16.0%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan McLaughlin0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.410.120.300.01593%0.4100.00475%-0.09
Malik Beasley0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.09-0.011464%0.241-0.03580%0.04
Jake Layman0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17-0.000.240.07342%0.1700.00683%0.12
Juancho Hernangomez0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.050.011174%0.193-0.0710%-0.02
Kelan Martin0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.06-0.02861%0.122-0.032100%0.02
Naz Reid0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00753%0.0400.00333%-0.02
D'Angelo Russell0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.030.14-0.050.061869%0.103-0.08367%-0.00
Josh Okogie0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jarrett Culver-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00950%0.083-0.1000%0.00
James Johnson-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.080.011148%0.024-0.171100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.120.12-0.00687%0.261-0.024100%0.03
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.024137%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.07-0.02675%0.203-0.1000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.080.003117%0.183-0.0800%0.00
Kendrick Nunn0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.011955%0.101-0.03667%-0.02
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.020.02-0.010.030.011354%0.124-0.111567%-0.09
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.080.01870%0.073-0.10771%-0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0,0,-0.1-0.100.00-0.10-0.001058%0.034-0.131191%0.15
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.090.00928%-0.141-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.10.233.115.727.52.344.2147.2
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +56.2%
MIA -15.5%
MIA -7.3%
MIN +17.8%
MIA -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game13.113.614.2118.3117.8109.6
season13.814.7107.1111.7
opponent14.513.8108.9110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN12.913.713.412.313.1
MIA13.712.413.814.413.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan McLaughlin50481.21-0.711.920.6220-173712.213.8-1.6314.413.01.39
D'Angelo Russell71710.75-0.250.990.7503-312.913.4-0.5613.613.6-0.03
Jake Layman34320.65-0.150.790.6503-311.713.7-2.0411.414.5-3.16
Malik Beasley74730.53-0.030.550.2011-81913.212.70.5014.012.71.29
Juancho Hernangomez71700.490.010.490.4903-312.614.0-1.3713.913.10.78
Jarrett Culver5048-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-14-512.613.5-0.8913.014.1-1.11
Naz Reid4139-0.140.64-0.79-0.2021114.512.22.2913.913.40.53
Kelan Martin4341-0.260.76-1.01-0.23-14-513.612.70.8613.213.8-0.68
Josh Okogie5959-0.340.84-1.17-0.22-47-1114.012.02.0714.512.42.09
James Johnson5254-0.340.84-1.180.01-1215-2713.412.80.5412.914.3-1.34

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Nunn70680.39-0.891.290.226-91513.613.50.1613.212.80.41
Goran Dragic56590.24-0.740.990.163-6913.513.7-0.1913.312.80.49
Duncan Robinson56590.15-0.650.810.42-96-1515.112.03.1113.512.60.89
Kelly Olynyk35350.08-0.580.670.022-5714.713.01.6713.912.71.27
Jimmy Butler8080-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.544-71113.314.5-1.2412.913.4-0.50
Bam Adebayo7475-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.594-71113.613.60.0213.013.2-0.14
Derrick Jones Jr.4748-0.720.22-0.93-0.57-52-712.314.6-2.2312.813.3-0.56
Jae Crowder7274-0.840.34-1.17-0.63-74-1113.014.7-1.6712.713.9-1.27
Andre Iguodala4547-0.930.43-1.36-0.55-1310-2313.613.60.0612.713.4-0.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.68,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 102, LAC 980.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.78,0.58,091.5%
BOS 90, POR 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,091.0%
DAL 95, MIA 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.95,0.84,0.75,0.74,090.6%