inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 119 Excitement9.4 [123] MVPKendrick Nunn (MIA): +29.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 125 Comeback107.7 [9] LVPKevin Love (CLE): -23.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn0.300,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.080.240.031857%0.3000.001100%0.00
Jae Crowder0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.070.040.030.001448%0.0700.00540%-0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.000.04683%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.01-0.00-0.03560%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Chris Silva0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Bam Adebayo-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.02-0.021563%0.136-0.14580%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.06,-0.060.08-0.120.021656%-0.051-0.01786%-0.01
Duncan Robinson-0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.04-0.16-0.031454%-0.031-0.0600%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.10-0.05530%-0.102-0.0200%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.190.190.070.130.011173%0.302-0.1100%0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.150.150.130.040.021865%0.182-0.031080%-0.04
Darius Garland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.120.120.010.140.021254%0.182-0.062100%0.01
Matthew Dellavedova00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.05-0.040.021152%-0.0000.00757%-0.03
Cedi Osman0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02844%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.031441%0.001-0.01425%-0.03
Collin Sexton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.03-0.000.071057%-0.021-0.023100%0.01
Kevin Love0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23-0.23-0.02-0.210.001350%-0.193-0.04887%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.52.435.515.429.11.734.82.523.1167.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +7.5%
MIA -5.1%
CLE +38.1%
CLE +7.7%
CLE +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game14.115.114.2110.2113.6109.6
season14.715.1111.7106.3
opponent13.814.5114.2108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA13.211.713.118.215.914.1
CLE15.114.814.514.519.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk31330.28-0.781.06-0.0712-183012.714.6-1.9014.815.2-0.45
Kendrick Nunn72770.18-0.680.860.006-121813.515.2-1.6514.017.7-3.67
Chris Silva2426-0.07-0.430.350.31-137-2014.214.00.1314.715.2-0.53
Duncan Robinson7374-0.19-0.310.11-0.314-101414.712.81.8315.614.21.39
Andre Iguodala3536-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-137-2012.614.8-2.1215.115.1-0.02
Bam Adebayo8483-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.637-132014.014.2-0.1315.414.21.16
Derrick Jones Jr.7574-0.530.03-0.57-0.592-81014.712.52.2315.314.60.69
Goran Dragic6970-0.560.06-0.62-0.06-1711-2814.014.2-0.1815.414.50.86
Jae Crowder7777-0.780.28-1.06-0.25-1812-3014.612.71.9015.214.80.45

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Nance Jr.63630.91-0.411.330.2423-174015.614.41.2514.513.50.95
Tristan Thompson57570.91-0.411.320.3021-153615.614.51.1414.813.31.50
Kevin Porter Jr.82820.81-0.311.120.1722-163815.015.5-0.4914.413.01.40
Kevin Love76760.77-0.271.050.4810-41415.115.1-0.0315.111.53.64
Darius Garland82800.59-0.090.680.2711-51614.716.3-1.6415.011.53.51
Dante Exum13130.020.48-0.45-0.0633017.114.82.2412.814.2-1.39
Matthew Dellavedova98-0.020.52-0.550.03-28-1012.815.3-2.539.714.4-4.66
Andre Drummond5351-0.410.91-1.320.03-1521-3614.515.6-1.1413.314.8-1.50
Cedi Osman5251-0.440.94-1.370.09-1824-4215.115.1-0.0413.514.6-1.13
Collin Sexton6359-0.651.15-1.810.08-2531-5615.214.90.2911.916.7-4.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 111, DEN 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.63,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.68,0.72,187.4%
LAC 99, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.43,0.73,187.2%
CHA 108, NJN 1120.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.54,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.96,187.1%