inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 111 Excitement11.3 [22] MVPAnthony Davis (NOP): +32.9%
Denver Nuggets 117 Comeback15.0 [113] LVPJrue Holiday (NOP): -53.8%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0.330,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.330.080.24-0.012258%0.473-0.144100%0.02
Rajon Rondo0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.070.06-0.00-0.01590%0.111-0.0500%0.00
Darius Miller0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.03757%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02437%0.001-0.0200%0.00
E'Twaun Moore-0.140,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14-0.08-0.060.00825%-0.091-0.0500%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins-0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.33,-0.330.010.010.351766%0.069-0.391060%-0.47
Jrue Holiday-0.540,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.08,-0.45,-0.45,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54,-0.540.06-0.590.022160%-0.403-0.1400%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.35,-0.35,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.03,0.180.180.020.14-0.021463%0.494-0.31250%-0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.17,0.17,0,0.18,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.030.011662%0.222-0.20250%-0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.02-0.00643%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.11-0.110.001268%0.091-0.10475%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02450%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01950%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.011350%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.050.02-0.050.021450%0.011-0.062100%0.01
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.030.03850%0.051-0.12250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.82.024.014.624.32.530.61.719.2144.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.4%
DEN +18.4%
DEN +38.2%
NOP -9.7%
NOP -43.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDENNBANOPDENNBA
this game14.215.014.7101.8107.3107.5
season13.614.7108.0111.2
opponent14.714.6109.9107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOP11.615.815.114.513.514.2
DEN17.213.516.214.312.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Miller49470.40-0.901.300.0811-172813.914.4-0.5815.714.41.31
Jameer Nelson49480.26-0.761.030.067-132014.014.3-0.3216.014.21.71
Anthony Davis9090-0.13-0.370.23-0.192-81013.915.5-1.6415.214.01.21
Dante Cunningham6160-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-5-1-414.114.3-0.1714.915.1-0.22
Jrue Holiday8888-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.37-2-4213.716.0-2.3215.313.91.36
DeMarcus Cousins6869-0.610.11-0.73-0.35-93-1214.513.60.9014.615.6-0.99
E'Twaun Moore8284-0.850.35-1.20-0.27-2014-3414.812.42.3514.217.8-3.63
Rajon Rondo5960-0.880.38-1.26-0.47-148-2214.413.90.5814.415.7-1.26

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee64640.79-0.291.070.4910-41414.415.8-1.4414.813.21.62
Jamal Murray80790.67-0.170.840.5251415.314.11.1714.014.6-0.63
Will Barton67670.54-0.040.580.4824-215.214.70.5013.515.3-1.81
Trey Lyles64640.54-0.040.570.4824-214.715.5-0.8313.714.9-1.18
Gary Harris89880.430.070.360.3142214.815.7-0.8614.114.3-0.14
Malik Beasley20210.070.43-0.360.0124-215.714.80.8614.314.10.14
Kenneth Faried11110.000.50-0.49-0.0624-213.515.2-1.6214.514.10.41
Wilson Chandler5151-0.020.52-0.54-0.227-1815.015.0-0.0015.213.31.92
Emmanuel Mudiay1618-0.080.58-0.67-0.05-17-815.414.90.5114.514.10.39
Torrey Craig3837-0.150.65-0.79-0.1815-414.815.1-0.2815.013.81.21
Nikola Jokic4545-0.290.79-1.07-0.17-410-1415.814.41.4413.214.8-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.63,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.68,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 108, NJN 1120.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.54,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.96,191.0%
MIL 115, CHI 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.72,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.84,0.84,188.3%
UTA 101, DET 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.54,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.74,188.1%