NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	104		Excitement	7.7 [327]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (POR): +38.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	7.7 [263]		LVP	Derrick Rose (DET): -33.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.27	0.18	0.11	0.02	15	70%	0.27	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.03	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	9	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Sekou Doumbouya	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	4	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	10	36%	0.01	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.29,-0.23,-0.33	-0.10	-0.26	-0.03	16	44%	-0.03	5	-0.30	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.38	0.38	0.28	0.13	0.03	16	84%	0.38	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.43,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.17	-0.01	30	60%	0.42	1	-0.06	8	62%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	14	52%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.06
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	26.5	15.4	26.2	1.8	31.1	129.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.5%

DET -6.1%

DET -8.7%

POR +28.0%

DET -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	POR	NBA	DET	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.2	108.3	111.5	109.6
season	15.1	14.4		108.3	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.2		113.5	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.0	10.6	14.3	15.7	14.5
POR	12.7	17.1	17.7	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	41	40	0.44	-0.94	1.39	-0.02	16	-19	35	14.5	14.6	-0.05	16.0	15.0	1.01
Christian Wood	62	62	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.41	17	-20	37	13.4	16.6	-3.26	15.5	15.3	0.25
Langston Galloway	51	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-13	23	14.6	14.4	0.18	14.5	16.5	-2.02
Bruce Brown	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-8	13	14.4	14.8	-0.36	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Thon Maker	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	14	-31	16.9	13.4	3.54	15.5	15.4	0.04
Sekou Doumbouya	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.33	-23	20	-43	16.8	12.5	4.29	16.7	14.4	2.32
Svi Mykhailiuk	30	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	7	-17	14.7	14.5	0.18	15.6	15.4	0.28
Tony Snell	50	51	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.45	-15	12	-27	14.0	15.2	-1.17	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Derrick Rose	55	56	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.39	-19	16	-35	14.6	14.5	0.05	15.0	16.0	-1.01

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	73	72	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-11	25	15.4	15.7	-0.25	14.6	14.5	0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	71	70	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.44	13	-10	23	15.5	15.3	0.19	14.1	15.6	-1.47
CJ McCollum	85	85	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-14	31	15.0	18.9	-3.90	15.3	8.7	6.57
Carmelo Anthony	73	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.45	9	-6	15	16.1	13.5	2.55	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Hassan Whiteside	81	79	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-2	7	15.1	17.4	-2.30	13.8	18.1	-4.27
Wenyen Gabriel	22	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	1	1	16.5	15.1	1.41	16.5	13.9	2.67
Nassir Little	15	14	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	16	-29	14.3	15.7	-1.41	15.7	14.3	1.37
Mario Hezonja	23	24	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	14	-25	15.7	15.4	0.25	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Anfernee Simons	37	37	-0.56	1.06	-1.61	0.06	-21	24	-45	15.8	15.2	0.57	13.8	15.0	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.15,0.3,0.43,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.55,0.86,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 116, CHA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	89.2%
DAL 85, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.91,0.99,1	88.5%
OKC 95, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	88.5%